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Round 24 of the 2011 AFL footy season is finally here but with the top eight set does not promise to be a very exciting Round of footy . For all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds for Round Twenty Four read on.

Only 2 teams in the top eight can swap spots with Sydney & St Kilda fighting for a home final against the other. A 1 vs 2 clash at the G Friday night with Collingwood taking on Geelong and a few bottom half matches that don’t really mean a thing will wrap up the Round. Essendon will watch this week with the Bye as they warm up for Carlton next week.

Best Bet of Round 24 is a risky one that will pay well if the Tigers can take down North by over 40+ points at $9.50 at Sportsbet

Collingwood v Geelong Friday night at the MCG

A possible Grand Final preview this Friday night at the G but will both sides out their best teams on the park or hide some of their tricks for the finals?

Collingwood will be without Daisy Thomas for this match and the first Final after he was outed by the tribunal during the week. Tarrant & Dawes will come back into the side while Sharrod Wellingham must also be a chance.

The Cats lost their first match at Skilled Stadium in 4 year last week against the Swans and will be eager to regain some winning form coming into Finals. The Cats must play Milburn & Mooney to see if they are right for Finals but are likely to leave out defender Harry Taylor and midfielder Joel Corey.

Tip: Pies by 20 points

Odds: Pies 1.31 Cats 3.50

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 23

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of Friday nights match.

Gold Coast V Hawthorn Saturday at Metricon Stadium

It what will be the final match or their inaugural season the Suns will finish 2-20 and avoid the wooden spoon if the Power lose to Melbourne. Expect the Suns to take it up to the Hawks early but be blown away in the second half.

Warming up for the Finals the Hawks will test out a few players to see if they will be in their Finals plans with Ladson, Renouf, Ellis and Ben Stratton likely inclusions. Sam Mitchell will also return after a week off with the Hawks looking to rest Rioli, Bailey and possibly a few others.

Will the Hawks keep the high pressure on the Gold Coast for the while game or save a bit of energy for the Cats next week, if they keep their foot on the Suns throat this one could get messy.

Tip: Hawks by 70 points

Odds: Suns 14.00 Hawks 1.02

Bulldogs V Freo Saturday at Etihad Stadium

With nothing to play for but pride for either side this could turn into an old fashioned shootout. Barry Hall will play his last game of AFL football and the Dogs players will be looking to get the ball to him and kick a bag. Ben Hudson will also play his last game of AFL.

The season can’t come to an end quick enough for Fremantle who 6 weeks ago were sitting 6th on the ladder and looking set for Finals before losing their way. With eighteen players ruled out for the game this does not leave Mark Harvey much to choose from.

The Dogs will do it for their retiring players quite easily.

Tip: Dogs by 74 points

Odds: Bulldogs 1.12 Dockers 6.40

Sydney V Brisbane Saturday at the SCG

The task is simple for the Swans, if they want a home final they need to win and hope that the Blues knock off St Kilda. After a stunning win against the Cats at Skilled last weekend they will head into the game full of confidence. Hard to see any changes to the side from last week. Can Gary Rohan light up the wings of the SCG like he did in Geelong last weekend.

The Lions have shown some very good signs of late without getting the results. They pushed the Eagles all the way last week but just come up short, again being hit by injuries and a reduced bench. Brent Staker (injured) and Luke Power (retired) will go out of the side leaving the door open for Michael Voss to test out some youngsters in preparation for next season.

Tip: Swans by 39 points

Odds: Swans 1.14 Lions 5.75

Saints V Carlton Saturday night at the MCG

This will be a match with Finals like intensity with the Saints needing a win to secure a home final and the Blues needing to get some form going into a huge Elimination final against the Bombers next week.

The Saints will be without David Armitage through suspension with Ryan Gamble looking to be the likely inclusion. After a huge win against the Kangaroos last week I can’t see too many other changes to the side. Nick Reiwoldt seems to be getting back to some of his best form at the right time of the year while Brendon Goddard continues to impress, if these two can fire the Saints are a strong chance.

After a week off after getting beaten by the Hawks the Blues have seen their top four chances drop away and are now cemented in fifth and will face Essendon next week. Jarrad Waite still doesn’t seem to be fit, Brock McLean had a solid run in the VFL last week and has put his hand up for selection. I think the Blues need to settle their side this week before the big clash next week and will use the pace of their midfield to expose the Saints.

Tip: Blues by 7 points

Odds: Saints 2.15 Blues 1.70

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West Coast V Adelaide Saturday night at Paterson Stadium

With fourth spot stitched up and a Qualifying final showdown with the Pies next week the Eagles will tune themselves up this week with a win over the Crows. John Worfold has promised not to rest a lot of players but could look to get some game time into the likes of Darling, Swift and Sam Butler so expect to see a couple of senior players rested at least.

The Crows will desperately trying to get another win for stand in coach Mark Bickley after a disappointing second half last week against the Tigers. Doughty, Tambling, Callinan, Smith, Thompson, Henderson and Maric are al pressing for selection for the last game of the season while Knights and Otten will definitely miss.

Tip: Eagles by 48 points

Odds: Eagles 1.15 Crows 5.50

Port Adelaide V Melbourne Sunday at the Adelaide Oval

The Power showed some great signs against the Bombers last week and should have walked away with the 4 points if it wasn’t for 10 minutes of brilliance by Essendon. John Butcher continues to show how good of a player he can be and Robbie Gray was outstanding with 6 goals. Big ruckman Dean Brogan will be hoping he is passed fit to play his farewell game for the club.

A first win for caretaker coach Todd Viney last week against the Gold Coast may have set the fire under him to apply for the spot next year. A loss against bottom of the ladder Port Adelaide could change his mind quick as the Dee’s look to finish off the season in style. Davey will return to the Dees lineup after serving his suspension. This also could be young gun Tom Scullys last game for the Dees.

If Melbourne can show their full class and potential I see them getting the win easily over Port.

Tip: Melbounre by 29 points

Odds: Power 2.45 Demons 1.55

Richmond V North Melbourne Sunday at Etihad Stadium

A strong win against the Crows last week sees the Tigers finishing the season strong and with a win over North will see them jump to ninth on the ladder. Jake King will miss through suspension opening the door for Ben Nason to return after showing great form in the VFL last week.

The Kangaroos didn’t show up for a big match again last week and were humiliated by the Saints effectively ending the season. Ziebell and Greenwood will both be out through suspension, Hamish McInstosh will be a certain starter for his first game of the season, while Goldstien, Wells, Bastinac & Adams could all miss through soreness.

Tip: Tigers by 20 points

Odds: Tigers 2.50 North 1.53

Greater Western Sydney are favourites with online bookmaker Sportsbet to secure the services of three-time All Australian and two-time Coleman Medalist Brendan Fevola in 2012.

Fevola is priced at $4.00 to join the GWS Giants next year, ahead of North Melbourne, St Kilda and Sydney on the second line of betting at $6.00 each.
“To use Brendan’s own words, his return to the big time has never been about his football prowess, but he seems to have turned the corner this time around and we think he’s got a lot to offer the right club,” sportsbet’s Haydn Lane said.
“GWS are our early favourites, but we believe he’d fit in nicely at quite a few clubs.

“He’d provide great support to Nick Riewoldt at the Saints, while Sydney have a history of getting the most out of ‘bad boy’ full forwards in Tony Lockett and Berry Hall.
“Carlton are probably higher in the market than many might have thought, but he’d be the perfect focal point in their forward line and a return to Visy Park certainly has a romantic feeling about it.”

Get a massive $150 free bet for this market just for placing a bet. Simply join Sportsbet here and make your first bet. Your account will then be instantly refunded that amount 100% up to $150. See more on this offer at the Sportsbet site here.

A Fevola return to the Brisbane Lions is priced as the $201 outsider in the market.

**Please note – all bets will be refunded if Fevola is not signed to an AFL club in 2012.
Brendan Fevola’s 2012 AFL Club
$4.00 Greater Western Sydney
$6.00 North Melbourne, St Kilda, Sydney
$8.00 Richmond
$10 Carlton
$12 Western Bulldogs
$14 Melbourne, West Coast
$16 Port Adelaide
$26 Fremantle, Gold Coast
$41 Adelaide
$51 Geelong
$67 Essendon, Collingwood, Hawthorn
$201 Brisbane

Round 21 of the 2011 AFL footy season will see a few teams fighting for their future, a few looking to hang onto their spot and a couple of blowouts. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds in a tricky Round as we come to the business end of the season.

Round Twenty One kicks off Friday night at Etihad with last years 2 Grand Finalists St Kilda and Collingwood locking heads and concludes Sunday evening in Adelaide with the Crows looking to make it 3 for 3 under new coach Mark Bickley as they tackle a Geelong team in red hot form. The Kangaroos have the week off with the bye which virtually puts an end to their finals chances.

Best Bet of Round 21 is Melbourne to upset the West Coast between 1-39 which is paying a massive 4.70 at Sportsbet

This is the last weekend of the Sportingbet Depsoit $30 get a $150 free bet offer. Checkout our post here for more info on this offer which ends on Monday the 15th.

Saints V Pies Friday night at Etihad Stadium

The Saints have the bright lights of Etihad on a Friday night for the second week running after knocking off Fremantle last week. This is the Saints biggest test to date to see if they are a legitimate final 8 contender coming up against the might of the Magpies. Zac Dawson will come back into the side after missing a game through suspension but I can’t see any other major changes for the Saints.

Coming off a massive win against Port in the wet this will be a real test for the Pies to see where they are. Harry O’Brien will return for Collingwood with Chirs Dawes and Sharrod Wellingham to face fitness tests. I am sure the Pies would prefer this game to be at the MCG but I still think the will come away with the points.

Tip: Pies by 33 points

Odds: Saints 6.25 Collingwood 1.12

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 33

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of Friday nights match.

Hawks V Port Adelaide Saturday at the MCG

Hawthorn got a scare late last week against North Melbourne but will have no trouble against the Power this week. The only problem for the Hawks is at the selection table with Bateman, Lisle, Savage, Ellis, Shoenmakers & Bruce all fit and ready for a return to senior footy. Do the Hawks rest a few players in this one maybe?

Coming off kicking their lowest score in the AFL Port Adelaide will be out to redeem themselves. Unfortunately for them they come up against another Premiership contender, this time away from home. I expect the Power to kick more than 21 points this time around but I wouldn’t be putting any money on them to win, even at the odds of $21.

Tip: Hawks by 70 points

Odds: Hawks 1.01 V Port 21.00

Fremantle V Carlton Saturday at Paterson Stadium

The Dockers return home needing a win to stay in touch with the 8 after dropping to ninth after last weeks loss. They will lose Adam McPhee for a week with suspension but should regain superstar ruckman Aaron Sandilainds as Mark Harvey now realises Frmantles season is on the line.

Carlton had an easy win against Melbourne last Saturday but coach Brett Ratten was not overly happy with the Blues game. It’s always harder to beat Fremantle in Perth than it is at home and they will need all guns firing to get the win and stay in the top four.

Tip: Blues by 14 points

Odds: Freo 2.95 Blues 1.40

Western Bulldogs V Essendon Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

The Dogs are rested after a week off with the bye and have a long list of people to include in the side headlined by Cooney, Morris and Higgins but are sure to be without Tom Williams. They need to win 4 out of 4 in the run home to have any chance of making finals so expect them to come out all guns blazing.

What a comeback by the Bombers last week against the Swans to sneak home by a point. These are the games Essendon needs to win though to secure its top eight spot. With a bye in Round 24 they will not be able to do anything but sit back and hope results go their way to stay in the eight. Andrew Welsh and Nathan Lovett-Murray are two possible inclusions for the Bombers but I don’t expect to many changes to the side that beat the Swans.

This could be another Saturday night nail biter.

Tip: Dogs by 5 points

Odds: Bulldogs 2.10 Bombers 1.74

Brisbane V Gold Coast Saturday night at the Gabba

Q clash #2 should be a great game to watch with Brisbane out to show the Gold Coast that they are the number one team in Queensland and the Gold Coast wanting to prove that the win over the Lions earlier in the season was no fluke.

Brisbane let one slip against the Crows last week after leading by 4 goals mid way through the last term. Josh Drummond will come back into the Lions side to bolster their defence. Expect to see Ash McGrath forward again this week after his stellar effort against the Suns earlier in the year.

The Gold Coast are coming off a footy lesson against the Cats last week being thrashed by 150 points. Captain Gary Ablett will have a fitness test to determine if his hamstring is ok to play which would be a huge boost for the young Suns. Campbell Brown will miss the remainder of the season though which is a big loss down back. I think the Lions might have a sour taste in their mouth after the loss earlier in the year and will be too strong for the young Suns who look to be tiring as the season goes on.

Tip: Lions by 34 points.

Odds: Lions 1.41 Suns 2.90

Melbourne V West Coast Sunday at Etihad Stadium

The Demons need to show some pride, come out hard and get stand in coach Todd Viney his first win. If they stick to their game plan and use the knowledge of the MCG to their advantage I can see them pulling off a big upset this week and keeping finals hopes alive. Liam Jurrah, Colin Sylvia, Mark Jamar and Cale Morton all look to be recalled to the side this week.

The Eagles have some injury worries with star ruckman Dean Cox and defender Eric Mackenzie facing fitness tests this week and Matt Rosa definitely out. The Eagles are another team that needs to keep winning to keep the pressure on Hawthorn and Carlton for a top four spot but I have a sneaky suspension that the Dees might get up here.

Tip: Demons by 24 points

Odds: Melbourne 3.75 West Coast 1.25

Richmond V Sydney Sunday at the MCG

With the Tigers season effectively over they need to start working out what to do for next year and try a few players in some different roles, will they start that this week against the Swans though as they still need to win back some respect from the footy public and their supporters after a very disappointing second half to the season. Daniel Jackson is likely to miss for the Tigers which could open the door for Damien Hardwick to get a youngster in there and get him some experience.

The Swans cost themselves the game with some very poor kicking for gaol in the last quarter against Essendon last week. Adam Goodes will be out to have a good game after he missed a few he would normally convert including that kick after the siren. Gary Rohan looks to be fit again and could be an inclusion into the side.

Too much to play for for Sydney here, they should get the points.

Tip: Swans by 28 points

Odds: Tigers 3.50 Swans 1.30

Adelaide V Geelong Sunday at AAMI Satdium

The Crows are 2 for 2 under Mark Bickley and are finally putting some decent scores on the board with back to back 100 point games. Will the new attacking game style help them out against the Cats or leave them wide open to be hurt on the turnover against a Geelong side that has won by a combined 336 points in the past 2 weeks.

Geelong will bring back Brad Ottens and defender Corey Enright for Brownlow Medalist Jimmy Bartell’s 200th game. I am not sure if the Cats will make it 2 straight games winning over 100 points but they will win easily over in Adelaide and keep the pressure on Collingwood for top spot.

Tip: Cats by 80 points

Odds: Crows 9.00 Cats 1.07

Footy tipping is tough in Round 17 of the 2011 AFL season with two very important matches that are likely going to make up the top 8 come the end of the year. There’s plenty of good odds in both these games with St Kilda 1.78 (11th on the ladder) and favourite to win against the Eagles 2.05 (4th) who just knocked the Cats off top spot.

Think you can beat our tips? Then put them in comments section below and if your the first person to tip more correct than Sportsbet Blog you will receive via email a $100 betting voucher!

Congrats to John from last week who took home the $100 betting voucher, picking 7 out of 8 doing 1 better than us! Well done!

See the Celebrity/Pro footy tips for round 17 here.

Best Bet of Round 17 for me is West Coast between 1-39 against the Saints which is paying $2.65 at Sportsbet

Adelaide V Essendon Friday night at AAMI Stadium

Adelaide have had the better of Essendon lately at AAMI stadium with some big wins, they face an Essendon outfit full of confidence though after winning two on the trot. Coming off the bye Adelaide will still be missing tall forward Taylor Walker after receiving a one match ban. They will look to welcome back Ricky Henderson but will also need to cover the loss of Richard Douglas and Ian Callinan.

The Bombers will still be without captain Jobe Watson but are likely to recall defender Cale Hooker who has overcome a hamstring injury. The Bombers struggle on the road and will need an effort similar to the one they produced 2 weeks ago against the Cats to get the points in Adelaide, with recent form on their side I believe they can get the 4 points.

Tip: Bombers by 19 points

Odds: Crows 2.35 Bombers 1.60

Fancy a bet on this match, I am predicting the first goal to be kicked for the match between the 1.01 & 2.00 minute mark which is paying a healthy $4.25

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Bombers by 19

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To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

Richmond V Gold Coast Saturday at Cazaly’s Stadium, Carins

The Tigers let one slip last week after leading against the Bombers late in the third quarter only to be overrun by 39 points. The mood down at Tigerland is not good after 2 crushing defeats just when they were knocking on the door of the eight, I think their will be a few nervous fans heading into this “should win” game against the Suns.

Gold Coast will be sweating on how Gary Ablett pulls up throughout the week after he put a scare through the camp last week going down with a knee injury. I expect him to play this week but that still won’t be enough for them to get the points.

Tip: Tigers by 45 points

Odds: Tigers 1.11 Suns 6.50

The Tigers should dominate the game and lead at every change which you can get $1.52 for at Sportsbet

Carlton V Collingwood Saturday at the MCG

A Blockbuster at the G on Saturday afternoon could turn into a demolition at the G if the Blues play like they did last week. Collingwood went from strength to strength with a huge win against the Kangaroos and their only concern is if they should welcome back Alan Didak, Brent Macaffer and John McCarthy or if Mick Malthouse will stay with the teams winning combination from last week.

Carlton on the other hand had the chance to consolidate its top 4 spot last week but were disappointing against the dogs. To make things worse they have lost Jarred Waite and Andrew Carrazo through injury for this weeks huge game. Will they recall Brock McLean to the midfield? Ed Curnow and Dennis Armfield also look to be available for a recall.

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Tip: Pies by 49 points

Odds: Blues 6.00 Magpies 1.13

If my prediction is right and the Pies win between 40-49 points you could get $8.00 for that

St Kilda V West Coast Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

This promises to be a great game with both teams fighting for different things. The Saints have hit form finally this season winning 3 of its last 4 games to be on the brink of breaking into the eight. Justin Koschitzke has not been named to play after serving his 2 match suspension and could been a massive help for Ben McEvoy in the ruck against West Coasts dominating duo of Dean Cox and Nic Natnui.

The Eagles will look to continue their impressive form and if the Blues lose and Eagles win they will jump into fourth spot on the ladder. Quinten Lynch will return from suspension, Beau Waters could return after overcoming a elbow injury that has kept him sidelined since Round 2. I think this will be a great match that could go down to the last few minutes of the game. West Coast in a close one for me.

Tip: Eagles by 4 points

Odds: Saints 1.78 Eagles 2.05

I am taking a risk here and betting on the quarter by quarter leader spread of St Kilda/WCE/ST Kilda/WCE which is paying a whopping $52.00

Melbourne V Port Adelaide Saturday night at TIO Stadium, Darwin

The Demons should be refreshed after a week off and will look to regain their spot in the eight on Saturday night in Darwin. Aaron Davey could possibly make his return this week for the Dees which will strengthen their midfield but they will look to Liam Jurrah up forward to continue his stellar season and kick a bag.

Port were horrible at home against St Kilda last week but will take confidence up to Darwin after recording a win up there earlier in the season against Richmond. Jacob Surjan should be a automatic call up after a strong showing in the SANFL last weekend but if Jackson Trengove does not come up after injuring his arm against the Saints this will leave Port a bit smaller down back and in the ruck.

Lets hope that the ground staff have the lights working this time around up there.

Tip: Demons by 40 points

Odds: Demons 1.27 Power 3.80

I am predicting a big finish in this one and the last quarter to be the highest scoring of the game, which is paying 3.70 at Sportsbet

Sydney V Fremantle Sunday at the SCG

This could be a season defining game for both sides who are sitting 6th and 7th on the ladder with a few teams looking to take their spot. Sydney had an easy win against the Suns last week and will look to keep the ball in close and not let the Dockers get their running game going. Jude Bolton will not be available for this match after injuring himself in the warm up last week.

After a week off Fremantle have had the chance to freshen up some bodies and will almost certainly recall star midfielder Michael Barlow and versatile forward/ruck Kepler Bradley. For Fremantle to win I think the will need a best on ground performance from captain Matthew Pavlich, but how much longer can the Dockers rely on him to win them games?

Tip: Swans by 21 points

Odds: Swans 1.28 Dockers 3.70

I think the game will be low scoring, and a halftime margin in the Swans favor of between 1-12 looks the goods at $4.30

Brisbane V Geelong Sunday at the Gabba

The Lions showed signs of improvement against the Hawks last week but still went down by 42 points. Michael Voss needs to figure out a game plan to stop opposing defenders double teaming Jonathan Brown every time the ball goes near him or they are going to be in trouble for the remainder of the season.

Who would have thought the Cats would lose 2 straight after winning their first 13 of the year. Surely this will be the game to end the losing streak. Joel Selwood will be back after serving his 4 match ban but the Cats will lose Brad Ottens for a week. I can’t see the Cats losing this one, they should easily account for Brisbane.

Tip: Cats by 63 points

Odds: Lions 7.50 Cats 1.09

The Cats will dominate betting here and rightfully so, I have chosen a random bet of the first scoring play of the third quarter to be a Geelong point which is paying $3.00

North Melbourne V Western Bulldogs Sunday at Etihad Stadium

This is another season defining game possibly as both teams look to stay in touch with the eight. The Kangaroos were woeful last week, going down by 117 points, but what was even more disappointing was the effort of the players. Brad Scott would have been shattered by the effort they put up and will have put them through some tough training sessions this week. Captain Brent Harvey is in doubt which could make things even harder for the Roos.

The Dogs are coming off their best performance of the year last week, beating fourth placed Carlton to be sitting just 2 points out of the eight. Will Rodney Eade stick with the same side that beat the Blues or choose to include Tom Liberatore, Will Minson, Dylan Addison, Ryan Hargrave or Ed Barlow who are all pushing for selection. I think the Dogs can get the points here and maybe put an end to the Kangaroos season.

Tip: Dogs by 24 points

Odds: Kangaroos 3.00 Bulldogs 1.40

I think the Kangaroos will come out firing after last weeks effort but will be overrun by the Dogs, thats why I am looking at the Kangaroos half time/Bulldogs full time bet which is paying $7.00

Round 15 of the 2011 AFL footy season promises to make your footy tips tricky this round. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds to help make the right choice.

The Bulldogs will have another mini final when they face Melbourne at Etihad stadium Friday night to kick off the round. I am really looking forward to the Richmond vs. Carlton game on Saturday afternoon and the 2nd Vs. 3rd Blockbuster Sunday between Collingwood and Hawthorn before the round concludes with another must win between North Melbourne & St Kilda at Etihad.

Best Bet of Round 15 for me is the Brisbane Lions between 1-39 which is paying 2.25 at Sportingbet.

Checkout the pro/celebrity tips for round 15 here

Western Bulldogs V Melbourne Friday night at Etihad Stadium

This is another must win for the Dogs as they look to win their third in a row. Adam Cooney was brilliant last week getting the Dogs out to a big lead in the first half before they took their foot off the gas in the second half but still won comfortably.

The Demons are in the eight after their big win against the Tigers last week. Number one draft pick Jack Watts is starting to show Demons fans why Melbourne rate him so highly and hopefully he can continue his good form for the rest of the season.

In what could be a high scoring game I think the demons can get the points to cement their spot in the eight.

Tip: Demons by 21 points

Odds: Bulldogs 2.04 Demons 1.79

More often than not Friday night footy starts with a goal as first scoring play, this looks good at $3.50

Richmond V Carlton Saturday at the MCG

Both teams are coming off losses in Round 14. The Tigers were gutsy against Melbourne but could not find a consistent goal kicker up forward. They will recall Jake King after a one week ban and may look to include midfielder Shane Tuck after some good form in the reserves in recent weeks.

Carlton were expected to win last week but were confronted by a West Coast team full of confidence. Full back Michael Jamison will be missing for the next month with a knee injury and the Blues may welcome back Jarred Waite, Ed Curnow, Nick Duigan & Brock McLean.

Tip: Blues by 17 points

Odds: Tigers 4.00 Blues 1.25

At $24 the qtr. by qtr. leaders of Carlton/Richmond/Carlton/Carlton looks very appealing to me

Fremantle V Gold Coast Saturday at Patersons Stadium

The Dockers were slow starters last week against Brisbane but got the points in the end with skipper Matthew Pavlich leading from the front. They will again be without All Australian ruckman Aaron Sandilands after he reinjured his foot.

The Suns fought the game out to the end last week and only went down by 22 points when it could have easily been another 80 point blowout. They will go into this game as heavy underdogs again and will need everyone to play the game of their life to get the points here. Brandon Matera & Trent McKenzie should be additions to the side as the Gold Coast will continue to rest young players throughout the season.

Tip: Dockers by 67 points

Odds: Dockers 1.10 Suns 7.25

Fremantle to win between 60-69 is a risky bet but at $9.00 could be worth putting a few dollars on

Essendon V Geelong Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

Five weeks ago many would have pencilled this in as a Blockbuster against top four sides. The Cats are still undefeated but since then Essendon have lost 5 in a row and look to be lost out on the field.

Will the acquisition of Bomber Thompson from Geelong over the summer help Essendon here? Maybe a little, but they will need a lot more to go right if they are to get close to the Cats.

Watson, Lonergan & Myers are out for Essendon with injuries and the Cats will likely recall Bartell, Ottens, Kelly, Stokes, Hunt & Vardy. Enough said.

Tip: Cats by 46 points

Odds: Bombers 7.50 Cats 1.09

Essendon got away to a flyer against the Hawks with a goal inside 20 seconds, if they can repeat this against the Cats and score the opening Goal before any other score it is paying a healthy $4.50 at Sportingbet.

Sportingbet give you a massive $150 free bet just for depositing $30 and using the promo code BETFREE when joining! See more details on the Sportingbet site here.

Adelaide V Sydney Saturday night at AAMI Stadium

The Crows showed some good signs late against Geelong last week which will please their coaches and fans. David MacKay and Richard Tambling are possible call ups at the expense of Henderson, Schmidt, Jaensch & Symes.

The Swans showed against Collingwood that they can still match it with the best only falling short by a goal. Their never say die attitude keeps them in every game. Goodes, Bolton & McViegh will lead from the front as they should get the points against the Crows.

Tip: Swans by 35 points

Odds: Crows 2.95 Swans 1.40

Adelaide/Sydney/Sydney/Sydney quarter by quarter leaders is paying $8.50 in this one.

Brisbane V Port Adelaide Sunday at the Gabba

This will be the only game of the Round that will not any effect on the rest of the competition. Both teams are desperate for a win for their fans and will come out firing.

The Lions with home ground advantage will prove too strong for Port Adelaide.

Tip: Lions by 28 points

Odds: Lions 1.40 Power 2.95

It’s a 50/50 bet at $1.95, choose either even or odd for the total score of the match combined.

Collingwood V Hawthorn Sunday at the MCG

This will be an absolute ripper. Second Vs. Third on the ladder and a possible finals preview. Expect a huge crowd at the MCG on Sunday.

Collingwood let a 5 goal lead slip against Sydney and found themselves trailing in the last quarter before rallying to win by a goal. Alan Didak will miss a couple of weeks through injury but the Pies could welcome back premiership stars Darren Jolly & Brent Macaffer.

The Hawks blew away Essendon last Friday night without spearhead Lance Franklin who will come back in after his one match ban. They will be without Jordan Lewis for 2 weeks through suspension, while Cyril Rioli & Brad Sewell have been added to the Hawks ever growing injury list.

Tip: Pies by 12 points

Odds: Magpies 1.31 Hawks 3.50

The Hawks have had some big first halves this year and the Magpies are the dominant team in finishing games, The Hawks halftime leaders/Collingwood full time leaders is paying a healthy $6.80

North Melbourne V St Kilda Sunday at Etihad Stadium

The Roos are one of the form teams of the competition in the last month and will need another win to stay in touch with the top eight. Drew Petrie is in All Australian form and their younger players are starting to stand up.

After a week off with the bye St Kilda will come back refreshed and ready for a second half push to make the eight. They will need their leaders to have a stellar second half to the season if they are any chance of finals. They will be forced to make at least one change with Justin Koschitzke out for 2 weeks through suspension.

Tip: Saints by 3 points

Odds: Kangaroos 2.00 Saints 1.82

The Halftime margin of St Kilda leading between 1-12 is paying $4.10 and could be worth looking at.

After a few days to catch our breath from 14 games in 11 days over Rounds 5 & 6 we kick off Round 7 Friday night at AAMI between Port Adelaide & Hawthorn & conclude Monday night at Etihad with St Kilda taking on Carlton.

Geelong will look to stay undefeated with the Pies to set up a huge top of the table clash next week while Gold Coast and Brisbane will do battle on Sunday to see who goes into Round 8 on the bottom of the AFL ladder.

Don’t forget to claim your free St Kilda jumper just for making a $50 with Centrebet. The offer ends at the end of May so be quick! To see more info on this offer or to make a Centrebet account see their site here.

My best bet of Round Seven is Carlton between 1-39 against St Kilda which is paying $2.10 at Sportsbet where they give you a $200 free bet bundle just for signing up. See more info here.

Port Adelaide V Hawthorn Friday night at AAMI Stadium

Port Adelaide’s form over the last 2 weeks has been woeful and they will need to turn it around quick if they want to have any chance against the rested Hawks.

Hawthorn have lost Cameron Bruce for the next month with a knee injury but will welcome 2011 recruits Isaac Smith and Paul Puopolo to make their AFL debut. Hawthorn will have too much class all over the ground and should get the win easily.

Tip: Hawks by 45 points

Odds: Port 4.90  Hawks 1.18

Western Bulldogs V Sydney Saturday at Manuka Oval

The Dogs looked good in patches last week until Collingwood blew them away with 10 minutes of extraordinary football. Giansiracusa, Higgins & Hudson are all looking to break back into the side after injuries. Boyd, Murphy & Gilbee were among the dogs best last week & new recruit Justin Sherman is starting to fit in and kick some goals at his new club.

Sydney have lost 2 in a row and will be looking to rebound strongly against the dogs. They need to get more out of Adam Goodes in the midfield with the loss of reigning best and fairest winner Kieran Jack. Expect Sydney to try and slow down the pace of the game and keep it low scoring.

Tip: Bulldogs by 4 points

Odds: Western Bulldogs  1.75 Sydney 2.10

Geelong V North Melbourne Saturday at Skilled Stadium

The Cats are rested after the bye last week and will go into this match hot favorites. Chapman, Scarlett & Bartell were all terrific against the Hawks on Easter Tuesday and will take great form into the match.

The Kangaroos got their first win of the season last week against a very disappointing Port Adelaide. The Roos will fight hard but will not be able to win the one on one contests against Geelong all over the ground and will lose easily.

Tip: Cats by 79 points

Odds: Geelong 1.07 North Melborne 8.50

Richmond V Fremantle Saturday at the MCG

This could be the match of the round for me. The young Tigers fought hard last week for their win over Brisbane with Foley, Cotchin & Martin all superb. Brett DeLedio is in the best form I have seen him in and feel he is crucial to a Tigers win here.

Fremantle have the longest injury list in the AFL but still have a lot of class all over the ground. A hard fought come from behind win against the Bulldogs with their last start shows that they will not give up on games like in years past. Sandilainds, Pavlich, Hill & Mundy all need to dominate to get Freo over the line in Melbourne.

Tip: Dockers by 8 points

Odds: Richmond 2.35 Fremantle 1.60

Gold Coast V Brisbane Saturday night at the Gabba

The first battle between the 2 Queensland sides promises to have a lot of feel after Simon Blacks comments this week. Brisbane showed last week that they can play good football but need to do it for 4 quarters. With captain Jonathan Brown still 3 weeks away the lions look to get their first win of they year and put the Gold Coast on the bottom of the ladder.

Gold Coast got another expected flogging last week by the Bombers. I thought they fought the game out after a woeful start but they can’t let teams get to 50 point leads in the first quarter or it is going to be very hard in any game. My prediction is Brennan & Rischetelli will have standout games against their old club but will also be the target of some heavy hits from the Lions.

Tip: Brisbane by 42 points

Odds: Gold Coast 8.50 Brisbane 1.07

Essendon V West Coast Sunday at Etihad Stadium

The Bombers broke a first quarter record last week with 15 goals against the Suns, don’t expect to see this again though. Riemers found some form with 8 goals, Tom Bellchambers continues to impress and young gun Dyson Heppell is showing that he belongs on the senior list.

West Coast took care of Melbourne easily last week as they continue to impress this year. The Eagles beat the Bombers at Etihad last year with Marc LeCras kicking 13 goals. I don’t think James Hird will allow this in 2011. If the Eagles can show the same pressure they showed against the Hawks a few weeks back they will have a chance of a big upset.

Tip: Bombers by 34 points

Odds: Essendon 1.20 West Coast 4.70

Melbourne V Adelaide Sunday at the MCG

The Demons looked flat in Perth last week and will need a win to keep the pressure of coach Dean Bailey. Mark Jamar is having another big year in the ruck and Jack Watts showed a few signs last week of his potential. They will need a full team effort to beat a well drilled Crows side.

The Crows were impressive against the Saints last week but still need to show that they can put together 2 good games in a row. The Crows will need to shut down Moloney, Jones & Green to win this one.

Tip: Demons by 17 points

Odds: Melbourne 1.77 Adelaide 2.08

St Kilda V Carlton Monday at Etihad Stadium

I gave St Kilda one last chance last week and they let me down so I am forced to go against them this week. I am not sure what exactly has happened to the Saints this year but even superstars Reiwoldt, Goddard & Montagna do not look like the same players as last year.

Carlton on the other hand have turned things around and look to be a legitimate top 4 contender. Chris Judd was amazing in the wet last week against the Swans and is looking ominous for a 3rd Brownlow Medal. Play like they did last week and the Saints shouldn’t bother them.

Tip: Blues by 22 points

Odds: St Kilda  2.85 Carlton 1.43

To celebrate the new Centrebet sponsorship with St Kilda Centrebet are giving new customers a free genuine AFL 2011 St Kilda footy jumper!

Until May 31st simply place a $50 bet on anything with odds of $2.00 or more and you score the free guernsey.

They are currently selling at the Saints online shop for $110 so $50 for the jumper plus the chance to make some money with the $50 bet makes this offer an absolute bargain!

Here are the steps to get your 2011 footy jumper:

1. Click this link to goto the free Saints jumper signup page and make your new account
2. Place any bet you like, but it must be a minimum of $50 and at odds of $2 or more to qualify for this offer.
3. Win or lose, Centrebet will send you a voucher number through the post; this will be lodged within 5 days of your successful registration and bet qualification.
4. Simply present your voucher at the Saints Locker Store Moorabbin to receive your FREE 2011 St Kilda Guernsey!

A friend has already completed this offer and phoned Saints Locker Store and they are posting the jumper to him free of charge. This may be a better option for people that live a while away from Moorabbin. The phone number is on the voucher that Centrebet send out.

Not a Saints supporter? Sell it on eBay? Give it to a friend?

To make your new account or to find out more info on this new offer see the free jumper signup page here. There’s less than a month until this offer ends so be quick so you don’t miss out.

 

Footy Tips are finally back with Round one to take place over four big days, starting Thursday evening. Like many I have been itching for the real season to start and I will be glued to the TV all weekend.

Each week I will give you my tips and the reason I think that each team will win. Be sure to check back each Wednesday evening or subscribe to the blog here.

Best Bet of Round 1

My best bet this week is to jump on Essendon early to make the finals at 2.50 with Sportsbet. It’s very likely to shorten in price later in the year so the earlier you get on the better the return.

Sportsbet are offering new customers a massive $200 free bet bundle that would be great for this weeks bet of the week. See the Sportsbet site here for more info on this offer.

Don’t forget to join the 2010 Million Dollar Footy Tipping. Checkout our tipping review or to join see the Sportsbet site here.

Carlton V Richmond Thursday night at the MCG

Odds: Carlton 1.32  Richmond 3.50

Tip: Carlton

Finally the season will kick of Thursday night. I expect Carlton to have to much class in the midfield for Richmond with Judd, Murphy, Gibbs & Co ready to run a muck. Reiwoldt will need to kick a big bag if Richmond have any chance.

My prediction is the Blues by 38 points

Geelong V St Kilda Friday night at the MCG

Odds: Geelong 2.15  St Kilda 1.70

Tip: St Kilda

St Kilda cant wait for footy to get started after a troubled off season off the field.

Geelong meanwhile will be out to prove that they can win against the top sides without Gary Ablett.

The match up in the midfield will determine who gets the points here with the likes of Selwood, Bartell & Corey up against Hayes, Dal Santo & Montagna. This should be a cracker of a game, match of the round for mine.

Saints by 15 points

Collingwood V Port Adelaide Saturday at Etihad Stadium

Odds: Collingwood 1.08  Port Adelaide 8.00

Tip: Collingwood

The pies should continue there red hot form from playing in 3 Grand Finals in there past 6 games even without skipper Nick Maxwell.

I can’t see Port Adelaide troubling the pies too much in this one and expect Collingwood to have a big win and top the ladder after Round 1.

Pies by 60 points

Adelaide V Hawthorn Saturday night at AAMI Stadium

Odds: Adelaide 1.97  Hawthorn 1.83

Tip: Hawthorn

In recent years the Hawks have not traveled well to Adelaide but the hunger for a fast start to the season this year should serve them well.

With the Crows missing Tippet up forward and the loss of Nathan Bock to the Gold Coast I can see the Hawks talls up forward proving to strong and sneaking over the line.

Hawks by 14 points

Brisbane V Fremantle Saturday night at the Gabba

Odds: Brisbane 2.25  Fremantle 1.65

Tip: Fremantle

The Lions looked very out of sorts during the pre season and even with their older bodies back in the team with Brown, Black & Power I still see Fremantle being too strong up in Brisbane with Sandilands to dominate in the ruck and give the dockers midfielders first use of the pill.

Freo by 26 points

Essendon V Western Bulldogs Sunday at Etihad Stadium

Odds: Essendon 2.35  Western Bulldogs 1.60

Tip: Western Bulldogs

A lot has been said about the Bombers potential this year with new coaches Hird & “Bomber” Thompson and they will be tested from round one by the doggies.

Both teams go into the game with something to prove, the Bombers want to show that they belong up the top half of the ladder and the dogs to prove that they still belong there. I can see this being a very close match, the dogs for me by a whisker.

Bulldogs by 5 points

Melbourne V Sydney Sunday at the MCG

Odds: Melbourne 1.65  Sydney 2.25

Tip: Melbourne

The Demons need to show a bit more this year after suprising some people last year with 8 wins. Last time these 2 teams met at the MCG Melbourne thrashed Sydney by 73 points.

I don’t expect the margin to be this large this time around but I can’t see the oldest team in the competition the Swans getting up for new coach John Longmire.

Melbourne by 40 points

West Coast V North Melbourne Sunday at Patersons Stadium

Odds: West Coast 1.65  North Melbourne 2.25

Tip: West Coast

2011 doesn’t look good for either the Eagles or the Kangaroos but one team will at least get away to a winning start to the season.

The Kangaroos have a lot of injuries to start 2011 and without big men Drew Petrie (suspended) and David Hale (with Hawthorn) I can’t see them being able to stay with the rotating ruckmen of Cox and Natnui for West Coast.

The Eagles by 16 points

Collingwood V Western Bulldogs

Tip: Collingwood

Odds: Collingwood 1.22 Bulldogs 4.35

Although the Pies were upset last week against the Hawks it was a great lead in game for the finals. They played pretty good seeing that they didn’t need to win the game so will be prepared to go 100% this weekend.

The Bulldogs coming off an impressive win against Essendon last week looked polished and should put up a fight against the Pies but I think they will lack the skills Collingwood has shown this year along with the continuing list of injuries the Bulldogs have going into this game.

My prediction is the Pies by over 40 points paying at Sportsbet here

Geelong V St Kilda

Tip: Geelong

Odds: Geelong 1.38 St Kilda 3.10

The Cats have proven once again they are the class side this year so tipping against them would take some guts. They have the better form going into the game and look to be more composed going into the finals.

I’m tipping a close game but the Cats to be too strong and win by around about 14 points. See the latest odds for this game at Sportsbet.

Fremantle V Hawthorn

Tip: Hawthorn

Odds: Fremantle 2.20 Hawthorn 1.68

The Hawks look to be the surprise package this finals series and should take care of the Dockers over in WA.
The Hawks have a near full strength side where Freo have been hit hard with injury this year and it will show this weekend. I’m tipping the Hawks to win by 30 points.

Sydney V Carlton

Tip: Sydney

Odds: Sydney 1.45 Carlton 2.77

Sydney play great football at home and always step up when it comes to finals and will give Paul Roos a great final send off game as coach in Sydney.
Carlton may get the jump on the Swans with the flair that they play with but I expect the Swans to grind out the win.
I’m tipping the Swans by 18 points.

There are only three games on for the remaining of round thirteen but I don’t think it will be a non eventful weekend of footy.

Friday night sees long awaited grand final rematch of the Saints and the Cats also being 1v2 on the ladder.

Another great game will be  the Swans V the Pies on Saturday night. Can the Pies get their year back on track away from home?

Best bet of Round 13 (week 2)

This week I like Geelong to win between 1-39 points paying 2.22 at Sportsbet. Although the bookies are expecting a score blowout I think it may be closer than they think.

St Kilda V Geelong Friday Night at the MCG

Tip: Geelong

Odds: St Kilda 3.50 Geelong 1.38

Although the Cats look far too strong for St Kilda my prediction is a 2 or 3 goal winning margin to Geelong.

The Saints will close the game down and should work for most of the night but the potency of the cats will show through and get the win.

Keep an eye on Brendon Goddard. I think he will play a mixed roll throughout the match with both time up forward and down back.

Geelong are nearly unbackable with the short odds of 1.38 so add them with your other bets for a boost to your multi bets.

Sydney V Collingwood Saturday Night at ANZ Stadium

Tip: Collingeood

Odds: Sydney 2.36 Collingwood 1.72

The Pies are desperate for a win away from home with a few cracks showing in their game in the past few weeks.

The game will be won in the contest possessions and the Pies on paper match up far better then the Swans and should lead in this stat which more times than not lead to a win.

Darren Jolly has been stuck in a bit of average form lately but will likely have a big game for the Pies in the ruck playing against his old club for the first time.

The Pies should cover the even line of -10.5 points easily, so stick with that and take home the handy $2.00 odds.

Adelaide V Melbourne Sunday at AAMI Stadium

Tip: Adelaide

Odds: Adelaide 1.65 Melbourne 2.48

If this match was in Melbourne I would be all over the Dee’s but being in SA I think their youth will struggle away from home.

Adelaide does have a few injury worries with Bock and Vince likely to play but not at 100%.

I’m tipping their other senior players will step up this week and keep the dreaded wooden spoon worries away, at least for now.