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Posts Tagged ‘ Spring Racing Carnival ’

ladiesdayRandwick’s Group 2 Chelmsford Stakes is a big name puller this week, with several big names. The $150,000 race has a reasonably small field, with only 10 runners after Dreamscape was scratched.

Several big names have won the Chelmsford Stakes, including Lonhro, Pasta Express and last year’s winner, Gallant Tess. The Chelmsford is traditionally a good lead up race to the Group 1 George Main Stakes at Randwick in three weeks time.

O’Lonhro ($2.80 with Betfair) will start as the favourite, and looking at his recent form it is easy to see why. He impressed in his first taste of group racing two weeks ago, where he narrowly lost to Trusting in the Warwick Stakes. His sire, the great Lonhro, won this race twice, so the race may become a bit of a family favourite.

Not too far behind him is Court Command with odds of  $4.50. He finished 5th in the Warwick Stakes, but won before that. He will be looking to win his first group race since May this year, where he beat a field of 17 to win the Group 3 Darley BTC Sprint.

Despite the small field, there has been no love for Moody Avenue, who is at $251. The 4 year old made his debut late compared to the others, and won his first race three weeks ago, albeit a maiden. He has not had experience racing against horses of the calibre of this field, and I feel like entering in the Chelmsford Stakes in like jumping in at the deep end before you’ve learnt to swim.

Another one at short odds is Triple Honour ($6). Despite not winning since last year’s Premiere Stakes, he is considered a good chance.  He is at short odds considering his trainer is not anticipated a win. Triple Honour could definitely finish in the top three, but those odds are not looking juicy enough for me yet.

Trainer Joseph Pride has two horses in this race, Vision and Power ($7) and Miss Marielle ($10). They are both good chances, although Miss Marielle has not run in a group race for some time. Vision and Power disappointed in the Warwick Stakes but has an excellent record before then.

I think that although O’Lonhro is still inexperienced, he has shown that he can fight out the group races and I think the Chelmsford will become his first group win. I think Vision and Power and Court Command are the next two in the race, and my other tip will go to the Anthony Cummings trained Miss Darcey ($21).

My tips:

1st. O’Lonhro

2nd. Vision and Power

3rd. Court Command

4th. Miss Darcey

divaIt’s the first week of spring, and it’s when the Spring Horse Racing Carnival really starts to heat up. The $400,000 Makybe Diva Stakes has always been a good marker for races further into spring, with past winners including Sky Heights, Northerly and Weekend Hussler.

Although Makybe Diva made a name for herself in races twice the distance, the Makybe Diva Stakes is run over 1600m. There are several Melbourne Cup racers in this year’s field, including Zipping and Master O’Reilly.

5 year old gelding Vigor (expect $10 with Betfair) has a good record, but is very inexperienced in group races. He jumped straight into a Group 1 last year, and finished sixth, but this will be his first group race since then.

C’est La Guerra ($26) is a good nomination. The gelding has not raced since a disappointing autumn, but is due for a good race and if he wants to make a good impression on the Spring Carnival, he’d better start here.

One of the few in-form horses is Heart of Dreams ($4.50) who, unlike C’est La Guerre, had an excellent autumn, winning both a Group 1 and 2. He was not disappointing in a first-up fourth against strong competition in the Group 2 J.J Liston Stakes a few weeks ago.

4 year old mare Typhoon Tracy (with odds around  $2.75 at Betfair) finished ahead of Heart of Dreams in the J.J Liston, and looks set for an impressive spring. She has raced only five times, but for four wins and the one placing. She may be a little out of depth in this race, but that hasn’t stopped others before her.

Predatory Pricer ($4.00) beat both Typhoon Tracy and Heart of Dreams in the J.J Liston Stakes, and should definitely not be discounted here. Neither should you forget Maco’Reilly (not to be confused with Master O’Reilly), who has been racing very well in New Zealand. This may be his first time on Australian soil, but by the way he has been racing over the past year, he’ll be right up there. He is at $26.00 and excellent value.

I like Heart of Dreams and Typhoon Tracy for the win, though I’m not sure which one of them I like better. There is a very open field, but I also like Maco’Reilly and Predatory Pricer.

My Tips:

1st. Heart of Dreams

2nd. Typhoon Tracy

3rd. Predatory Pricer

4th. Maco’Reilly