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Posts Tagged ‘ round four ’

Round 4 sees St Kilda, Bulldogs and Brisbane all with a bye but round 4 wont lack any excitement with a massive match up against Carlton and Essendon. Both clubs are looking to break into the top 4 this season and this may be the defining match to decide who makes it or not.

Both teams are have odds of $1.91 so even the bookies can’t split them.

Best Bet of Round Four

This weeks best bet is  Essendon to win over Carlton by the over 4 points, its paying $2.10 at Sportsbet where they give you a $200 free bet bundle just for signing up. See more info here.

Richmond Vs Collingwood

Odds: Richmond $8.60 Collingwood $1.07

The tigers were pretty disappointing against the Hawks in Round 3 after an impressive start to the season. Jack Reiwoldt has to get his emotions under control if he wants to lead his team to a big upset again the top of the ladder Pies.
Collingwood backed up the unveiling of the premiership flag with a strong display against Carlton but there is still a lot of improvement to be had at the Lexus Centre according to Mick Malthouse. Expect the Pies to continue on their merry way Friday night.
Pies by 67 points

Hawthorn vs. West Coast

Odds: Hawks 1.13 West Coast $6.00

Are the Hawks a legit premiership contender? I think so. With Rioli and Mitchell to come back into the side that thrashed Richmond last week I can’t see the Eagles proving much of a challenge to the Hawks down in Tassie.
West Coast is doing better than expected early in the season and let one slip against the Swans last week. Cox and Embley are in fantastic form but it won’t be enough against the Hawks.
Hawks by 55 points

Carlton vs. Essendon

Odds: Carlton $1.91 Essendon $1.91

What a match up this promises to be between these 2 rivals. Carlton were brave against Collingwood last week and will need their star studded mid field to stand up against Essendon. Jeff Garlett is in an equal lead for the Coleman medal early on with 10 majors so far this season and poses as a real threat up forward.
Essendon proved last week that they are the real deal demolishing the winless Saints. Watson, Hurley, Zaharakis & Winderlich shared the wealth up forward bagging 3 apiece.
In a tight game that will be won by the midfield I expect the Bombers to get crawl over the line.
Bombers by 5 points

Sydney vs. Geelong

Odds: Sydney $2.09 Geelong $1.75

Saturday night pits 2nd vs. 3rd in what should be a cracker of a match. The Swans at home are always hard to beat, new recruit Andrejs Everitt looks to have fit in well at his new club and is ready for a breakout season.
The Cats marched on last week winning their at home last week to 24 games serving up a clinic to Port Adelaide. They are now almost at full strength with Brownlow medallist Jimmy Bartell in ominous form. Expect this to be a tight clash.
Cats by 9 points

Port Adelaide vs. Adelaide

Odds: Port $2.93 Crows $1.41

Port captain Domenic Cassisi has signalled that the Power could ring the changes for this week’s Showdown looking at bringing back the likes of Salopek, Banner, Ebert & Surjan to try and get their first win of the season.
Adelaide was disappointing against Fremantle last week and will need to turn it around quick in front of a packed AAMI stadium Saturday night. Dangerfield looks to be in red hot form for the crows and Thompson was one of the only shining lights last week with 40 touches.
Port has won four of the past 5 against Adelaide but I expect that trend to come to end this weekend.
Adelaide by 27 points

Gold Coast vs. Melbourne

Suns $5.75 Melbourne $1.14

The Suns were not disgraced against the dogs last week but will be missing Campbell Brown for a few after a few incidents last week which will hurt them. Ablett showed he can still get a lot of the footy even without the protection he used to get at Geelong and is looking good.
Melbourne on the other hand were lucky to get the points against Brisbane and coach Dean Bailey will be putting the pressure on his players this week to make sure they are not the first side to lose to the AFLs newest team. Liam Jurrah looks ready for a big season after booting 5 and leading the way for Melbourne last week. Melbourne should win this but they will not have it all their own way.
Dees by 39 points

Fremantle vs. Kangaroos

Odds: Freo $1.17 Roos $5.00

The Kangaroos travel to Perth for the second time already this season and may benefit from the bye last week. For them to get a Win they need big games from the likes of Swallow, Petrie & Harvey.
Fremantle were dominant in the first quarter last week setting up the win. Star ruckman Aaron Sandilands is in doubt with an eye injury but I expect him to be right by Sunday. The Dockers need to get consecutive wins constantly this season if they are going to be playing footy in September. The home ground advantage will prove enough for Fremantle to get over the line.
Dockers by 22 points

Round 4 we be looked back on as one of the season builders this year with the cream of the crop doing battle against each other along with the cellar dwellers.

In my mind there are two matches of round four. St Kilda (1) V Freo (2) and Brisbane (3) V Bulldogs (5). Both should be cracking games and should go down to the wire.

Best Bet of Round 4

St Kilda between 1-39 points paying 2.20 at Sportsbet who also will give you uo to $200 worth of free bets. For more info on this offer checkout the Sportsbet website.

West Coast V Essendon Friday Night at Subiaco Oval

Tip: West Coast

Odds: West Coast 1.63 Essendon 2.54

I predict west Coast to win at home, they play a decent brand of footy in the West and with McVeigh out for Essendon I think the task will be out of their reach. I will be interesting to see how Hurley goes for his first game of the year, he will be out to make his mark on the game after serving a club imposed sanction.

North Melbourne V Sydney Saturday at Etihad Stadium

Tip: Sydney

Odds: North Melbourne 2.70 Sydney 1.54

Sydney are my surprise club of the year so far winning 2 from 3 and nearly knocking off St Kilda in round 1. They have changed their game plan this year and are playing a more exiting game which is seeming to work for them.

They should continue their winning for at the Docklands this weekend over the Roo’s who haven’t quite found their feet as yet.

Adelaide V Carlton Saturday at AAMI Stadium

Tip: Adelaide

Odds: Adelaide 1.94 Carlton 2.02

This should be a hard fought game with both clubs struggling early in the season, especially the Crows who are yet to get a win on the board and were expected to be a top 8 side this year.

The Crows regain Johncock to their side that will bolster the back line and could be the difference at the end of the day. Even with Judd back in the side for the Blues I think Adelaide will get their act together and find a win.

Lions V Western Bulldogs Saturday Night at the Gabba

Tip: Lions

Odds: Lions 2.08 Western Bulldogs 1.91

The battle of the big guns. Hall, Brown and Fev all in one game? This time last year I would have said you were dreaming! It should be a great spectacle in a high scoring match.

It will be a matter of who gets more inside 50′s that will win the game and I think the Lions have shown in the last few weeks they have both speed and strength in the midfield and should get over the line. My prediction is the Lions by 12 points.

Collingwood V Hawthorn Saturday Night at the MCG

Tip: Collingwood

Odds: Collingwood 1.67 Hawthorn 2.44

The Pies looked guttered after their loss to St Kilda last weekend and with all the bad press about their Coach Mick Malthouse this week I think they will be out to change the headlines.

Forward Lance Franklin and Backman Josh Gibson are out for the Hawks and Heath Shaw is in for the Pies. It will make the challenge all that more difficult for Hawthorn and I expect the Pies to get a comfortable win.

Richmond V Melbourne Sunday at the MCG

Tip: Melbourne

Odds: Richmond 3.75 Melbourne 1.35

Looking back I think it was 2007 since Melbourne went into a game as favourites and at 1.35 it reflects how bad Richmond are traveling.

The Tigers are without club leaders Chris Newman (leg) and Ben Cousins (club suspension) for the match. I think someone need to tell Richmond that tanking just wont work this year with all the top draft picks going to the new clubs. They are debuting Troy Taylor (South Alice Springs/NT Thunder), Matthew Dea (North Ballarat), David Astbury (North Ballarat) for the game and will struggle to get a flowing game going. Melbourne by 35 points.

Geelong V Port Adelaide Sunday at Skilled Stadium

Tip: Geelong

Odds: Geelong 1.17 Port Adelaide 6.80
Skilled Stadium and Geelong go hand in hand and this match wont be an exception. They will be ruthless on Sunday an wont stop until the final siren after the surprise loss to Freo last week. the Cats have recalled Mooney, Milburn and Ottens for the game and will bounce back with a win.

Look out for Port Adelaide’s Dean Brogan and David Rodan who both are rejoining their club and should be the shining light for Port.

St Kilda V  Fremantle Sunday Afternoon at Etihad Stadium

Tip: St Kilda

Odds: St Kilda 1.35 Fremantle 3.65

1 v 2 and a great match to finish off round 4. The winner here could end up a game clear on top of the ladder with a decent percentage. A restructured St Kilda forward line will see Michael Gardiner the goto man after Nick Riewoldt’s now famous hamstring giving way last week and Justin Koschitzke another week on the side lines due to suspension.

The key to the game will be in the middle with 3rd tier ruckman Rhys Stanley getting the call up along with Steven King to go against giant Aaron Sandilands, if Sandilands can dominate the match it may be a closer game that one might expect.

roarWe are beginning to see what each team has to offer now that the Hyundai A-League moves in to round four. The new coming team Gold Coast United has made a dream start to their A-League campaign with three straight wins to start the season. Gold Coast United is now leading the A-League by 2 points after Sydney FC participated in a disappointing stale-mate against the Central Coast Mariners on Saturday.

The second new soccer team in the Hyundai A-League, North Queensland Fury, has made a dreadful start to their campaign and need to do something quick. Suffering three losses from three games and conceding an average of three goals per game, any hopes are quickly flying out the window.

Shane Smeltz of Gold Coast United continues to lead the league in goals scored after bringing his total up to five goals last weekend. Smeltz is also currently leading the league in attempts on target with a total of 7.

So far, Danny Kukovic of the Central Coast Mariners is doing the best in goal with a total of seven saves. He is being closely followed by Eugene Galekovic and Tando Velaphi who have both made six saves.

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My tips for round 4 are as follows.

Friday 28th August @ 7.30pm

Adelaide United FC vs. North Queensland Fury

Adelaide united will be looking to take a win in this one, especially after their 2-0 defeat last week. Meanwhile, North Queensland Fury has made a dreadful start to the season and I would expect it to continue. The match will be played at Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide.

My Prediction – Adelaide United. Final Score 1-0 with odds of $6.50 @ Centrebet.com.au

Friday 28th August @ 8pm

Perth Glory FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC

With two closely matched sides such as these, I believe that the best bet would be placed on a draw. Melbourne Victory is the more likely winner in my books, but hard to make a clear decision. This second game for Friday night will be played at ME Bank Stadium, Perth.

I’m Tipping – Draw. Final Score 1-1 with odds of $6.50 @ CentreBet.com.au

Saturday 29th August @ 3pm

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC

To be played at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane and in my opinion the Brisbane Roar is the team that will take the points here. My prediction is a 2-0 loss for the Central Coast as I simply cannot see them taking the victory.

My Tip – Brisbane Roar. Final score 2-1 with odds of $9 @ CentreBet.com.au

Sunday 30th August @ 3pm

Newcastle Jets FC vs. Gold Coast United

If the Gold Coast United loses here I would be mighty surprised. After their excellent start to the season and a great 2-0 win last week, they should be able to destroy Newcastle with relative ease. The match will be played at EnergyAustralia Stadium in Newcastle on Sunday.

My Tip – Gold Coast United. Final Score 2-0 with odds of $7 @ CentreBet.com.au

Sunday 30th August @ 5pm

Sydney FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC

The Wellington Phoenix will struggle here in my opinion. Sydney FC has them very much outclassed and should easily be able to continue their undefeated streak. This will be another win for Sydney FC.

My Tip – Sydney FC. Final Score 2-1 paying out at $8 @ CentreBet.com.au