Round 21 of the 2011 AFL footy season will see a few teams fighting for their future, a few looking to hang onto their spot and a couple of blowouts. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds in a tricky Round as we come to the business end of the season.
Round Twenty One kicks off Friday night at Etihad with last years 2 Grand Finalists St Kilda and Collingwood locking heads and concludes Sunday evening in Adelaide with the Crows looking to make it 3 for 3 under new coach Mark Bickley as they tackle a Geelong team in red hot form. The Kangaroos have the week off with the bye which virtually puts an end to their finals chances.
Best Bet of Round 21 is Melbourne to upset the West Coast between 1-39 which is paying a massive 4.70 at Sportsbet
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Saints V Pies Friday night at Etihad Stadium
The Saints have the bright lights of Etihad on a Friday night for the second week running after knocking off Fremantle last week. This is the Saints biggest test to date to see if they are a legitimate final 8 contender coming up against the might of the Magpies. Zac Dawson will come back into the side after missing a game through suspension but I can’t see any other major changes for the Saints.
Coming off a massive win against Port in the wet this will be a real test for the Pies to see where they are. Harry O’Brien will return for Collingwood with Chirs Dawes and Sharrod Wellingham to face fitness tests. I am sure the Pies would prefer this game to be at the MCG but I still think the will come away with the points.
Tip: Pies by 33 points
Odds: Saints 6.25 Collingwood 1.12
Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 33
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Hawks V Port Adelaide Saturday at the MCG
Hawthorn got a scare late last week against North Melbourne but will have no trouble against the Power this week. The only problem for the Hawks is at the selection table with Bateman, Lisle, Savage, Ellis, Shoenmakers & Bruce all fit and ready for a return to senior footy. Do the Hawks rest a few players in this one maybe?
Coming off kicking their lowest score in the AFL Port Adelaide will be out to redeem themselves. Unfortunately for them they come up against another Premiership contender, this time away from home. I expect the Power to kick more than 21 points this time around but I wouldn’t be putting any money on them to win, even at the odds of $21.
Tip: Hawks by 70 points
Fremantle V Carlton Saturday at Paterson Stadium
The Dockers return home needing a win to stay in touch with the 8 after dropping to ninth after last weeks loss. They will lose Adam McPhee for a week with suspension but should regain superstar ruckman Aaron Sandilainds as Mark Harvey now realises Frmantles season is on the line.
Carlton had an easy win against Melbourne last Saturday but coach Brett Ratten was not overly happy with the Blues game. It’s always harder to beat Fremantle in Perth than it is at home and they will need all guns firing to get the win and stay in the top four.
Tip: Blues by 14 points
Western Bulldogs V Essendon Saturday night at Etihad Stadium
The Dogs are rested after a week off with the bye and have a long list of people to include in the side headlined by Cooney, Morris and Higgins but are sure to be without Tom Williams. They need to win 4 out of 4 in the run home to have any chance of making finals so expect them to come out all guns blazing.
What a comeback by the Bombers last week against the Swans to sneak home by a point. These are the games Essendon needs to win though to secure its top eight spot. With a bye in Round 24 they will not be able to do anything but sit back and hope results go their way to stay in the eight. Andrew Welsh and Nathan Lovett-Murray are two possible inclusions for the Bombers but I don’t expect to many changes to the side that beat the Swans.
This could be another Saturday night nail biter.
Tip: Dogs by 5 points
Odds: Bulldogs 2.10 Bombers 1.74
Brisbane V Gold Coast Saturday night at the Gabba
Q clash #2 should be a great game to watch with Brisbane out to show the Gold Coast that they are the number one team in Queensland and the Gold Coast wanting to prove that the win over the Lions earlier in the season was no fluke.
Brisbane let one slip against the Crows last week after leading by 4 goals mid way through the last term. Josh Drummond will come back into the Lions side to bolster their defence. Expect to see Ash McGrath forward again this week after his stellar effort against the Suns earlier in the year.
The Gold Coast are coming off a footy lesson against the Cats last week being thrashed by 150 points. Captain Gary Ablett will have a fitness test to determine if his hamstring is ok to play which would be a huge boost for the young Suns. Campbell Brown will miss the remainder of the season though which is a big loss down back. I think the Lions might have a sour taste in their mouth after the loss earlier in the year and will be too strong for the young Suns who look to be tiring as the season goes on.
Tip: Lions by 34 points.
Melbourne V West Coast Sunday at Etihad Stadium
The Demons need to show some pride, come out hard and get stand in coach Todd Viney his first win. If they stick to their game plan and use the knowledge of the MCG to their advantage I can see them pulling off a big upset this week and keeping finals hopes alive. Liam Jurrah, Colin Sylvia, Mark Jamar and Cale Morton all look to be recalled to the side this week.
The Eagles have some injury worries with star ruckman Dean Cox and defender Eric Mackenzie facing fitness tests this week and Matt Rosa definitely out. The Eagles are another team that needs to keep winning to keep the pressure on Hawthorn and Carlton for a top four spot but I have a sneaky suspension that the Dees might get up here.
Tip: Demons by 24 points
Odds: Melbourne 3.75 West Coast 1.25
Richmond V Sydney Sunday at the MCG
With the Tigers season effectively over they need to start working out what to do for next year and try a few players in some different roles, will they start that this week against the Swans though as they still need to win back some respect from the footy public and their supporters after a very disappointing second half to the season. Daniel Jackson is likely to miss for the Tigers which could open the door for Damien Hardwick to get a youngster in there and get him some experience.
The Swans cost themselves the game with some very poor kicking for gaol in the last quarter against Essendon last week. Adam Goodes will be out to have a good game after he missed a few he would normally convert including that kick after the siren. Gary Rohan looks to be fit again and could be an inclusion into the side.
Too much to play for for Sydney here, they should get the points.
Tip: Swans by 28 points
Adelaide V Geelong Sunday at AAMI Satdium
The Crows are 2 for 2 under Mark Bickley and are finally putting some decent scores on the board with back to back 100 point games. Will the new attacking game style help them out against the Cats or leave them wide open to be hurt on the turnover against a Geelong side that has won by a combined 336 points in the past 2 weeks.
Geelong will bring back Brad Ottens and defender Corey Enright for Brownlow Medalist Jimmy Bartell’s 200th game. I am not sure if the Cats will make it 2 straight games winning over 100 points but they will win easily over in Adelaide and keep the pressure on Collingwood for top spot.
Tip: Cats by 80 points






