Sportsbet Blog

The 2009 AFL Brownlow Medal count is only days away and has huge betting interest with over $400,000 matched at Betfair so far and expected to double in the next couple of days. Checkout our Brownlow betting preview including odds for all the top players

Here’s my top 3 tips for the 2009 Brownlow Medal.

1st. Gary Ablett

The hot favourite is Gary Ablett and so he should be. The Geelong star has had a unbelievable year and arguably the best season of his career.

With an average of 34.5 disposals per match Gary Ablett will be very hard to beat. He racked up a total of 654 disposals in the 19 games he played which is the 2nd highest on the league behind Dane Swan who played 22 games.

Ablett also made a record 48 disposals in a game including a record 34 handballs in the match. He already has the AFLPA MVP Medal and the Lou Richards Medal, can Ablett make it a hatrick with a Brownlow Medal this year?

Although he was injured for 3 week early in the season I think he will get the points needed to take the award.

My prediction he will win with 25 votes.

Odds for Gary Ablett

To win: $2.90

Top 3: $1.48

2nd. Dane Swan

Averaging 31.8 possessions per game Dane Swan has had a steller season and will come close to winning the medal this year.

He played every game for the Pies this year and made the highest amount of possessions in the AFL. Swan had a fairly slow start to the season so dont expect him to poll well until after round 8 where he dominated in majority of his games.

He finished 2nd in the AFLPA Most Valuable Player Award behind Ablett but picked up the Hearld Sun Player of the Year Award beating 2nd place Gary Ablett.

It will be a very tight finish to the count but I think Swan will just miss out with 24 votes. He may be leading after round 20 but not expected to poll in the final 2 games where Ablett will take the lead in round 22.

Odds for Dane Swan

To win: $5.90

Top 3: $2.16

3rd. Nick Dal Santo

Dal Santo played all but 1 game of the Saints who finished the season on top of the ladder with only 2 losses. This alone will be worth a few unexpected votes for the midfield star who creates so much in the middle.

He finished the season with an average of 28 disposals per game. Unlike alot of Ablett’s disposals I found that Dal Santo used the ball alot more that the old one-two Ablett is know for and this will show in the votes.

With numerous St Kilda midfielders also expected to poll well Dal Santo will struggle to get enough 3 vote games to get him the 25-26 votes needed to win this year to get him over the line.

I think he will poll well with 22 votes.

Odds for Nick Dal Santo

To win: $18.50

Top 3: $4.10

Update: See our tips for the Brownlow Medal.

With the 2009 Brownlow Medal drawing near its time to make a betting decision for the big night.

The first decision to make is who to make your Brownlow bet with. The obvious choice is to goto the best odds to maximise your potential winnings.

Betfair has once again shown why they are the best and have by far the best odds around. Not only do they have better odds for the favourite Gary Ablett but substantially better odds for the roughies. Want to know why Betfair continuously has the best odds? Checkout our Betfair review that shows why they are always better than the rest.

There is a number of Brownlow bets to choose from including head to head options, highest player of each team, how many Brownlow points will the winner have and even the leader after round 11.

Betfair also has a great refer-a-friend promotion that gives both you and your friend $50, see Betfair here for more info on this great offer.

Below is a odds comparison table from the three main Australian bookies for the 2009 Brownlow Medal which is drawn on thw 21st of September. The best odds for each player are in bold.

Player Name	Betfair	Sportsbet	TAB
Gary Ablett	3.2	3	3
Dane Swan	6.2	4.5	5
Chris Judd	9.8	7	8
Adam Goodes	10	7	6.5
Nick Dal Santo	19	8	8
Leigh Montagna	18	10	13
Joel Selwood	16	8	8
Simon Black	16	12	12
Nick Riewoldt	22	17	15
Brendan Goddard	60	11	15
Matthew Boyd	46	16	17
Lenny Hayes	80	41	41
Bernie Vince	46	41	21
Marc Murphy	65	41	67
Jonathan Brown	220	67	101
Alan Didak	110	101	67
Scott Thompson	140	34	41

The battle for the 2009 Brownlow medal is starting to hot up with a number of players coming in to contention with some fantastic performances in recent weeks. Geelong superstar Gary Ablett is still the hot favourite to finally take out his first medal, but there is a group of players that includes former winner Chris Judd and St Kilda pair Nick Dal Santo and Leigh Montagna that could cause another upset for Ablett. Here at Sportbetblog we will give you a quick run down of who is really in contention.

Gary Ablett $2.00

At $2.00 Ablett is the hottest favourite to win the Brownlow medal since betting on the medal was allowed and rightly so. He is the all round footballer and is considered the best that there has ever been by many people. He tackles hard, scores his fair share of goals and regularly wracks up 30 + disposals. It would take a brave man to bet against him but stranger things have happened. Go to sportsbet now and register for your free bet.

Chris Judd $5.50

It was 2004 when Judd picked up his Brownlow medal in what was an outstanding season with The West Coast Eagles. In 2009 he looks like he has fully settled down with his new club Carlton and is again putting in some outstanding performances. Judd is averaging 27 disposals a game and 5 tackles. While these are some pretty impressive figures it is his presence and composure under pressure that set him apart from the majority of AFL players.

Dane Swan $12.00

Once you get past Ablett and Judd the odds start to lengthen significantly. But we should all know by now that bookmakers odds mean nothing when it comes to the Brownlow medal. Collinwoods Dane Swan has come from nowhere and is actually topping the overall stats list ahead of medal favourite Gary Ablett. Averaging 33 disposals, 19 kicks and 8 marks a game he has to be in with a shot, making $12.00 a great price.

Nick Dal Santo and Leigh Montagna $14.00 Nick ‘Dangerbolt’ Riewoldt $16.00

The performances of these three players in 2009 have been one of the main reasons that the Saints have performed so well this year. And you have to think that if they can keep it up and finish above Geelong that the 2009 Brownlow medallist will be one of these three. If I had to pick one of them it would definitely be Nick Riewoldt. To me he is one of the best players in the competition, but if the umpires tend to ignore forwards Nick might just miss out.

But when it comes down to it there is really only one winner and that is Gary Ablett. He is easily the best AFL player around if not of all time. Many people think he was unlucky not to win the medal in 2007 and 2008 and I feel that this will finally be his year. Go to sportsbet now to get your $50 free bet just for signing up.