Round 3 is setup to be one of the hardest rounds for AFL footy tips with numerous matches with level or near level odds and some potential interstate upsets.
The game of the round three would have to go to the Bulldogs V Hawthorn. Both teams have started the season fairly well and a win here will show they are the real deal in 2010.
Best Bet of Round 3
I like Geelong to beat Freo between 1-39 points this week paying 2.25 with Sportsbet.
St Kilda V Collingwood Friday Night at Etihad Stadium
Tip: St Kilda
Odds: St Kilda 1.50 Collingwood 2.60
The Saints are going along nicely and would be hard to tip against this week. They are a well drilled side and at the moment cant do anything wrong. Simon Prestigiacomo is a 50/50 chance to play for the Pies and would help hold the saints forward line which thrashed North Melbourne last week.
North Melbourne V West Coast Saturday at Etihad Stadium
Tip: North Melbourne
Odds: North Melbourne 1.91 West Coast 1.91
Although Sportsbet can’t split them in the odds, my prediction is North to bounce back from the 104 point loss handed to them by the Saints. Look out for “Boomer” Harvey who only could rack up 5 possessions last week, he will be keen for a good game this time round for North and could be wise to add him to your Dream Team this week.
Port Adelaide V Brisbane Saturday at AAMI Stadium
Tip: Brisbane
Odds: Brisbane 1.91 Port Adelaide 1.91
Although Port have looked in good form lately and they are playing at home I can step away from Brown and his side kick Fev up forward. Brisbane have a number of new faces at the club but they are playing like they have been together for many years. I predict Brisbane to have a good chance to win by over 40 points this weekend which is paying 6.50 at Sportsbet. I wouldn’t put my house on it but its well worth a bet.
Sydney V Richmond Saturday Night at the SCG
Tip: Sydney
Odds: Sydney 1.10 Richmond 7.00
the Swans loves the SCG and will demolish the Tigers on Saturday night. The only value bet for this game is the First Scoring play bets for each quarter. Stick to a Sydney goal and point (3.20 and 3.40) and you should be right. Keep an eye on round 2 Rising Star nominee Dan Hannebery, with 23 touches last week he will be out to repeat the performance.
Carlton V Essendon Saturday Night at the MCG
Tip: Carlton
Odds: Carlton 1.55 Essendon 2.50
Carlton don’t have a good record against Essendon of late losing the last five games to them dating back to 2007. But this time around I think Carlton will be able to slow down the blistering run of the Dons through the middle and should end Essendon’s winning streak. The key to the game will be defender and fill-in captain Michael Jamison, if he can cut off just a hand full of defensive 50 entries it will go a long way to the Blues winning. Congrats to 23 year old Eddie Betts will play his 100 game for the Blues and is in career best form.
Melbourne V Adelaide Sunday at the MCG
Tip: Adelaide
Odds: Melbourne 2.55 Adelaide 1.52
Adelaide have gotten of to a shocker this season still without a win after 2 win-able matches. They should have no problem getting over Melbourne although Melbourne did show that they are on the improve and should surprise a few clubs this year. Nathan van Berlo should be right to rejoin the Crows this weekend and skipper and match winner Simon Goodwin will need to go through a fitness test later in the week before he can put his hand up for selection after he suffered a corked knee last week.
Western Bulldogs V Hawthorn Sunday at Etihad Stadium
Tip: Western Bulldogs
Odds: Western Bulldogs 1.52 Hawthorn 2.55
The match of round 3 should be a telling tale for these two clubs and could shape the rest of their seasons. The Bulldogs looked a little flat footed against their big win over the Tigers last week. They will need to return back to their regular high class game to beat the Hawks who narrowly went down to Geelong last week in a grueling clash where Hawk Michael Osborne was suspended for 1 match.
With the 6 day break and injuries to Jordan Lewis (50/50 chance) and Rhan Hooper I’m tipping the Bulldogs to run over them in the 2nd half.
Fremantle V Geelong Sunday Afternoon at Subiaco Oval
Tip: Geelong
Odds: Fremantle 2.32 Geelong 1.62
I wont write off the Dockers in this game as they have on many occasions created upsets ruining good multi bets along the way. I wont be tipping them though. The Cats aren’t at 100% but they still look silky smooth and will put the pressure onto the Dockers early and should win the match through the midfield. Geelong will be without key players on both sides of the ground in Matthew Scarlett and Cameron Mooney which will be interesting how much they might missed.
Just keep Geelong out of the Multies this weekend. There’s nothing worse than a Sunday night Multi failure.
