Sportsbet Blog

RACING

Flemington Race 4 – The VanityHard to tip against classy filly Mosheen ($1.80) who was super impressive first up and has the class edge on her rivals. There are two improving types here. Shopaholic ($6.00) won well first up, has a senior rider for this assignment and still has plenty of upside. Great Dame ($5.50) bolted in at Sandown in weaker grade but looked impressive. She should be able to dictate from the front and might be hard to run down. Sydney filly Angel Of Mercy ($10.00) creates interest. She has her share of ability and the booking of Craig Williams is a good lead.

Flemington Race 7 – Speediness rated on top in an open affair ($4.00). He looked good winning first up at Sale and will be better suited at 1400 and has form around Sincero which is a good for a race like this. Pago Rock ($4.60) has a great record winning six of eight and could get a soft lead here. Agrippa ($6.00) is racing well and drops 8.5kg for this and is sure to be in the finish. Niblick ($7.50) has a good first up record and you can expect him to be the one closing late.

Warwick Farm Race 5 – Thoroughbred Breeders ClassicLooks a strong race which sees the return of the top class mare Beaded ($2.80). She’s a Group One winner who looks well placed in this and she boasts a very good first up record and will be the one to beat. Red Tracer ($4.00) is next best. She’s been trialling well. She also performs well first up but jockey Hugh Bowman will need a touch of luck form the awkward draw. Steps In Time ($5.50) returned with a good win in open company at Canterbury, this race is a step up in class but she does look to be an improving type. At nice odds, Balmont ($15.00) could be the knock out runner, and she’s had two solid trials in preparation for this. Include Lady’s Angel ($10.00) if the track is wet.

Warwick Farm Race 6 – Royal Sovereign Stakes. Interesting race with horse to follow through autumn resuming. Manawanui ($2.30) is clearly the top rated runner here. He looks beautifully placed at level weights. There doesn’t look to be a lot of speed in this so he won’t be too far back in the run. Only query is if his long spring preparation has done him any harm, however he has been trialling well. Next pick is the very promising Moment Of Change ($3.50) who created a huge impression in the spring and trialled sensationally at Rosehill recently. This will be his first attempt at racing clockwise under race conditions, and interestingly some of his stable mates appear to have struggled with this recently. Hot Snitzel ($10.00) will be primed to run a race first up and is the specialist sprinter in this field. Free Wheeling ($11.00) has had early support indicating he’s ready to fire.

Harness Racing – Bonus Bet

Melton Race 3 Big night of racing in the west where it looks to be a race for the favourites in the heats of the Inter Dominion, but shrewd punters might find some value given these races are run over the short distance of 1600m which tends to bring the good horses back to the field. Harness punters can enjoy a special Bonus Bet on Friday night – simply back the winner of Melton Race 3 and receive a matched bet on Gloucester Park Race 2, which is a heat of the Inter Dominion and looks a terrific race between Washakie ($2.25) and Auckland Reactor ($1.75).

Washakie will lead, he loves the track and is suited by the short distance, while Auckland Reactor should sit outside him and has the class to finish over the top. If the two favourites get caught in a speed battle, group one winner David Hercules ($15.00) could be a knock out chance. Click here for details on our bonus.

AFL – NAB Cup

Footy fans get their first taste with the NAB Cup kicking off on Friday night with Richmond, North Melbourne and Hawthorn meeting in the first block of games. Punter’s keen to get stuck into the footy betting should check out IASbet.com with plenty of betting specials plus Coleman Medal, Brownlow Medal, club Best and Fairest markets available plus some special markets including under/over season markets for players such as Buddy Franklin, Travis Cloke, Jack and Nick Reiwoldt, Tom Hawkins among others.

Round 24 of the 2011 AFL footy season is finally here but with the top eight set does not promise to be a very exciting Round of footy . For all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds for Round Twenty Four read on.

Only 2 teams in the top eight can swap spots with Sydney & St Kilda fighting for a home final against the other. A 1 vs 2 clash at the G Friday night with Collingwood taking on Geelong and a few bottom half matches that don’t really mean a thing will wrap up the Round. Essendon will watch this week with the Bye as they warm up for Carlton next week.

Best Bet of Round 24 is a risky one that will pay well if the Tigers can take down North by over 40+ points at $9.50 at Sportsbet

Collingwood v Geelong Friday night at the MCG

A possible Grand Final preview this Friday night at the G but will both sides out their best teams on the park or hide some of their tricks for the finals?

Collingwood will be without Daisy Thomas for this match and the first Final after he was outed by the tribunal during the week. Tarrant & Dawes will come back into the side while Sharrod Wellingham must also be a chance.

The Cats lost their first match at Skilled Stadium in 4 year last week against the Swans and will be eager to regain some winning form coming into Finals. The Cats must play Milburn & Mooney to see if they are right for Finals but are likely to leave out defender Harry Taylor and midfielder Joel Corey.

Tip: Pies by 20 points

Odds: Pies 1.31 Cats 3.50

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 23

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of Friday nights match.

Gold Coast V Hawthorn Saturday at Metricon Stadium

It what will be the final match or their inaugural season the Suns will finish 2-20 and avoid the wooden spoon if the Power lose to Melbourne. Expect the Suns to take it up to the Hawks early but be blown away in the second half.

Warming up for the Finals the Hawks will test out a few players to see if they will be in their Finals plans with Ladson, Renouf, Ellis and Ben Stratton likely inclusions. Sam Mitchell will also return after a week off with the Hawks looking to rest Rioli, Bailey and possibly a few others.

Will the Hawks keep the high pressure on the Gold Coast for the while game or save a bit of energy for the Cats next week, if they keep their foot on the Suns throat this one could get messy.

Tip: Hawks by 70 points

Odds: Suns 14.00 Hawks 1.02

Bulldogs V Freo Saturday at Etihad Stadium

With nothing to play for but pride for either side this could turn into an old fashioned shootout. Barry Hall will play his last game of AFL football and the Dogs players will be looking to get the ball to him and kick a bag. Ben Hudson will also play his last game of AFL.

The season can’t come to an end quick enough for Fremantle who 6 weeks ago were sitting 6th on the ladder and looking set for Finals before losing their way. With eighteen players ruled out for the game this does not leave Mark Harvey much to choose from.

The Dogs will do it for their retiring players quite easily.

Tip: Dogs by 74 points

Odds: Bulldogs 1.12 Dockers 6.40

Sydney V Brisbane Saturday at the SCG

The task is simple for the Swans, if they want a home final they need to win and hope that the Blues knock off St Kilda. After a stunning win against the Cats at Skilled last weekend they will head into the game full of confidence. Hard to see any changes to the side from last week. Can Gary Rohan light up the wings of the SCG like he did in Geelong last weekend.

The Lions have shown some very good signs of late without getting the results. They pushed the Eagles all the way last week but just come up short, again being hit by injuries and a reduced bench. Brent Staker (injured) and Luke Power (retired) will go out of the side leaving the door open for Michael Voss to test out some youngsters in preparation for next season.

Tip: Swans by 39 points

Odds: Swans 1.14 Lions 5.75

Saints V Carlton Saturday night at the MCG

This will be a match with Finals like intensity with the Saints needing a win to secure a home final and the Blues needing to get some form going into a huge Elimination final against the Bombers next week.

The Saints will be without David Armitage through suspension with Ryan Gamble looking to be the likely inclusion. After a huge win against the Kangaroos last week I can’t see too many other changes to the side. Nick Reiwoldt seems to be getting back to some of his best form at the right time of the year while Brendon Goddard continues to impress, if these two can fire the Saints are a strong chance.

After a week off after getting beaten by the Hawks the Blues have seen their top four chances drop away and are now cemented in fifth and will face Essendon next week. Jarrad Waite still doesn’t seem to be fit, Brock McLean had a solid run in the VFL last week and has put his hand up for selection. I think the Blues need to settle their side this week before the big clash next week and will use the pace of their midfield to expose the Saints.

Tip: Blues by 7 points

Odds: Saints 2.15 Blues 1.70

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West Coast V Adelaide Saturday night at Paterson Stadium

With fourth spot stitched up and a Qualifying final showdown with the Pies next week the Eagles will tune themselves up this week with a win over the Crows. John Worfold has promised not to rest a lot of players but could look to get some game time into the likes of Darling, Swift and Sam Butler so expect to see a couple of senior players rested at least.

The Crows will desperately trying to get another win for stand in coach Mark Bickley after a disappointing second half last week against the Tigers. Doughty, Tambling, Callinan, Smith, Thompson, Henderson and Maric are al pressing for selection for the last game of the season while Knights and Otten will definitely miss.

Tip: Eagles by 48 points

Odds: Eagles 1.15 Crows 5.50

Port Adelaide V Melbourne Sunday at the Adelaide Oval

The Power showed some great signs against the Bombers last week and should have walked away with the 4 points if it wasn’t for 10 minutes of brilliance by Essendon. John Butcher continues to show how good of a player he can be and Robbie Gray was outstanding with 6 goals. Big ruckman Dean Brogan will be hoping he is passed fit to play his farewell game for the club.

A first win for caretaker coach Todd Viney last week against the Gold Coast may have set the fire under him to apply for the spot next year. A loss against bottom of the ladder Port Adelaide could change his mind quick as the Dee’s look to finish off the season in style. Davey will return to the Dees lineup after serving his suspension. This also could be young gun Tom Scullys last game for the Dees.

If Melbourne can show their full class and potential I see them getting the win easily over Port.

Tip: Melbounre by 29 points

Odds: Power 2.45 Demons 1.55

Richmond V North Melbourne Sunday at Etihad Stadium

A strong win against the Crows last week sees the Tigers finishing the season strong and with a win over North will see them jump to ninth on the ladder. Jake King will miss through suspension opening the door for Ben Nason to return after showing great form in the VFL last week.

The Kangaroos didn’t show up for a big match again last week and were humiliated by the Saints effectively ending the season. Ziebell and Greenwood will both be out through suspension, Hamish McInstosh will be a certain starter for his first game of the season, while Goldstien, Wells, Bastinac & Adams could all miss through soreness.

Tip: Tigers by 20 points

Odds: Tigers 2.50 North 1.53

Round 23 of the 2011 AFL footy season looks to be a pretty straight forward one with all the top teams looking to have easy wins. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds for Round Twenty Three as we come to the business end of the season.

Match of the Round will no doubt be the Kangaroos Vs Saints game with so much riding on it for the winner. Carlton will be hoping the Lions can beat the Eagles to keep their top four hopes alive as all they can do this week is sit back and watch as they have a bye.

Best Bet of Round 23 is the in form Tigers between 1-39 against the Crows which is paying a healthy 3.60 at Sportsbet

Fremantle V Collingwood Friday night at Paterson Stadium

After a demoralising 98 point defeat at the hands of the Kangaroos last week the Dockers must return home and beat the reigning premiers if they have any chance at playing finals footy. To make the job even harder for the injury depleted Fremantle side they will have to do it without captain Matthew Pavlich, star onballer David Mundy, goal sneak Hayden Ballantyne and a host of others.

The Pies have injury concerns of their own heading into September with captain Nick Maxwell still a concern for the Pies Finals series. In better news Leon Davis, Sharrad Wellingham and big forward Chris Dawes should return to the side.

With the Dockers only having 25 players to choose from I can’t see them getting near the Pies.

Tip: Pies by 50 points

Odds: Freo 20.00 Pies 1.01

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 50

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Hawks V Bulldogs Saturday at the MCG

The Hawks keep going from strength to strength and a win on Saturday will pencil in a meeting with Geelong in the first week of the Finals. Waiting in the wings for the Hawks are Shane Savage, Michael Osborne, Xavier Ellis and Kyle Cheeny should they be required. How many can Buddy kick this week to clinch the Coleman Medal.

With nothing to play for the Dogs got a much-needed win for stand in coach Paul Williams over the Power last week. They will need a huge improvement on that effort if they are to get close to the Hawks though. Ben Hudson, Will Minson, Lindsay Gilbee and Dylan Addison are all a chance to return for the Dogs.

Tip: Hawks by 65 points

Odds: Hawks 1.10 Bulldogs 7.00

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Geelong V Sydney Saturday at Skilled Stadium

After a week off with the Bye the Cats will be refreshed and will look to continue their dominance at Skilled Stadium. Cameron Mooney announced his retirement at season’s end but will not get a Skilled Stadium send off as he will be missing through suspension. Scarlett, Milburn, Hawkins and Mackie are all expected to return to the Cats lineup to get ready for Finals action.

If the Swans can pull off a huge upset they will consolidate their spot in the top eight. After an impressive win last week against the Saints the Swans will head to Skilled Stadium full of confidence but I am afraid they will need a lot more than just that to get over the Cats at their fortress.

Tip: Geelong by 55 points

Odds: Cats 1.77 Swans 8.25

St Kilda V North Melbourne Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

This shapes up as being the most important game of the round, if not the season so far. Put simply if the Kangaroos win their past 2 games (St Kilda & Richmond) and the Saints lose their last 2 (Kangaroos & Carlton) then the Roos will take the Saints place in the eight.

After thumping Fremantle by 98 points last week the Kangaroos will take form and confidence into the game. Jack Ziebell looks to be the only possible inclusion into the side after all 22 players got through last week ok.

The Saints on the other hand have concerns over Sean Dempster and Nick Riewoldt after both sustained injuries last week against Sydney. Justin Koschitzke and Zac Dawson should both come back into the side after missing last week.

For the sake of keeping some interest in next weeks matches I am tipping the Roos to get the points over the Saints here and keep their Finals dream alive.

Tip: Roos by 22 points

Odds: Saints 1.72 North 2.15

Brisbane V West Coast Saturday night at the Gabba

The Lions put up a strong showing against Collingwood last week and another test comes this week against another top four team. I wouldn’t expect too many changes to the Lions line up from last week as they have not really got anyone pushing for selection and the way the team played last week I think Michael Voss would want to keep that same playing group together for the remaining 2 games if he can.

If The Eagles can win they will almost certainly lock up fourth position with a home match against Adelaide next week. Rumors going around are that the Eagles may rest Dean Cox for this match. With Jack Darling and Patrick McGinnity looking to get back into the side the Eagles should be too strong for the Lions as they have a lot more to play for.

Tip: Eagles by 25 points

Odds: Lions 3.60 Eagles 1.30

Adelaide V Richmond Sunday at AAMI Stadium

With not much to play for the Crows have been outstanding since Mark Bickley took over as coach 4 weeks ago only losing one game to the Cats. With an easy win against the Gold Coast last week the Crows will look to knock off the Tigers and jump ahead of the on the ladder. Ricky Henderson, Brodie Martin, Ivan Maric and Luke Thompson will look to break into the side and tall forward Taylor Walker will face a fitness test.

The Tigers will look to make it 3 in a row after impressive wins over Sydney and Adelaide. After the success of the past 2 weeks I can’t see any changes at Tigerland this week.

If Richmond can take the Adelaide crowd out of the game and win the midfield battle I think they can get the points.

Tip: Tigers by 13 points

Odds: Crows 1.38 Tigers 3.05

Melbourne V Gold Coast Sunday at the MCG

If there was ever a team that needed a win it is the Demons and they should get it this week against the Suns. Colin Sylvia and Aaron Davey have both been suspended and looking to replace them in the side are Tom McNamara, Neville Jetta, Tom McDonald, Jack Fitzpatrick, Matthew Bate and Matthew Warnock. Who will coach Todd Viney turn to as he searches for his first win.

The season can’t come to an end quick enough for the young Suns who look to be tiring late in the season. Sam Isles is a chance to return for the Suns but they will need huge games from Ablett, Swallow and Rischitelli if they are to knock off the Demons.

Tip: Melbourne by 53 points

Odds: Melbourne 1.10 Suns 6.75

Essendon V Port Adelaide Sunday at Etihad Stadium

If the Bombers want to secure a finals spot they must beat Port as they have the bye next week and don’t want to be relying on other teams to lose for them to keep their spot. Andrew Welsch and Jobe Watson should be ok after both copped knocks to the head in their teams defeat against West Coast last week. Hurley and Pears will return after missing last week but the Bombers will be without Stuart Crameri who sustained a should injury last week.

Port Adelaide need a win in the last 2 weeks to avoid the wooden spoon but they may need to look to next week against Melbourne at the Adelaide Oval as I can’t see them beating the Bombers. In a good sign for Power fans last week 2nd gamer John Butcher booted 6 goals from 6 kicks. A similar performance this week could see him nominated for the NAB rising star.

Tip: Bombers by 70 points

Odds: Bombers 1.01 Power 20.00

 

Coming to the business end of the AFL season Round 22 shapes up to be a very intriguing one with huge consequences for sides fighting for finals spots. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds for Round Twenty Two.

Best Bet of Round 22 is the Hawks to get the points against the Blues between 1-39 points which is paying $2.30 at Sportsbet

Carlton V Hawthorn Friday night at Etihad Stadium

What a blockbuster this is set to be Friday night. Coming off a big win against Fremantle last week Carlton will look to consolidate their top four spot before having the bye next week. The Blues could possibly welcome back Michael Jamison if they choose to risk him but Jarred Waite is still a couple of weeks away.

The Hawks had the clubs biggest ever win last week, with a margin of 165 points against Port. They Cryril & Buddy show was in full swing last week and Hawks supporters are hoping they can carry that form into this weeks match.

I believe this match will be won by who can get on top in the midfied. The Hawks by about 4 goals for me.

Tip: Hawks by 27

Odds: Carlton 2.20 Hawks 1.68

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Hawks by 27

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Gold Coast V Adelaide Saturday at Metricon Stadium

Unfortunately their will be a few matches in the last 3 rounds that really don’t mean a thing, and this is one of them. If your a Suns fan this could be their last chance to get a fourth win for their season as they finish off the last 2 rounds taking on Melbourne (MCG) and Hawthorn (Metricon).

The Crows were brave in defeat against the Cats last week and showed signs of what they are capable of. They should not have any trouble accounting for the Gold Coast, especially with the likely inclusions of Ben Rutten and Kurt Tippet.

Tip: Crows by 33

Odds: Suns 4.50 Crows 1.21

West Coast V Essendon Saturday at Paterson Stadium

This is another match that could shape the top four. The Eagles will be watching the Blues V Hawks game closely Fridan night knowing that if Carlton lose and they can defeat Essendon they will jump into fourth spot and could stay there till seasons end with Carlton having the bye next week. Captain Darren Glass and vice-captain Beau Waters are both likely inclusions which will bolster the Eagles back half.

The Bombers were impressive against the Bulldogs last week and have all but secured a Finals spot. Even if they lose this week they will beat Port Adelaide next week before having the bye in Round 24, a likely finishing position of seventh for the Bombers. The Bombers could travel to Perth minus a few important players with Hurley, Fletcher, Pears & Myers all in doubt.

With the home ground advantage and the Bombers poor form interstate over the past few years I think the Eagles will get home.

Tip: West Coast by 20

Odds: Eagles 1.29 Bombers 3.65

North Melbourne V Fremantle Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

It’s do or die for both teams Saturday night with both teams in desperate need of a win to keep finals hopes alive.

The Kangaroos are looking to include ruckman Hamish McIntosh for his first game this year to help out in the ruck against Fremantles Aaron Sandilainds. Coming off the bye North should be well rested to make a final tilt at September action.

The Dockers must win this match to put some pressure on Sydney and Essendon for top spot and with a match against Collingwood next week and the Bulldogs at Etihad in the coming weeks this looms as a win or go home match. Dockers fans will be glad to see star David Mundy back this week after missing the last 8 weeks and also hard nut Adam McPhee.

With a better knowledge of the ground and being a bit fresher I think the Roos will win and put an end to Fremantles season.

Tip: North by 19

Odds: North 1.38 Freo 3.10

Collingwood V Brisbane Saturday night at the MCG

The Magpie juggernaut kept rolling last Friday with a workmanlike win over the Saints. The Pies may look at trying a few different things this week in the lead up to September. Skipper Nick Maxwell will most likely miss the rest of the Home and away season with a thumb injury but in better news Chris Dawes and Alan Toovey could return this week.

After a poor season the only thing the Lions wanted to do for the remainder of the season was to get a win over their Queensland rival Gold Coast, they achieved this last week. Don’t expect too much from the Lions this week, as long as they are competitive and hard at the ball Michael Voss will walk away happy.

Tip: Pies by 75

Odds: Pies 1.01 Lions 21.00

Sydney V St Kilda Sunday at ANZ Stadium

This is a possible Elimination final preview with 6th playing 8th on the ladder. The Swans were very disappointing against the Tigers last week and have left the door open for a couple of teams to steal their spot in the eight. Quite a few Swans players might face the axe this week after poor games last week and with Nick Malceski, Gary Rohan and Trent Dennis-Lane waiting for a call up.

The Saints were not disgraced last week against Collingwood but showed they still need some more improvement if they want to make their third Grand Final in a row. Nick Reiwoldt does not look to be the player he used to be and needs to lift late in the season for his team.

This is likely to be a low scoring hard fought game rather than a shootout with the Saints kicking a few late to beak away from the Swans.

Tip: Saints by 20

Odds: Swans 2.30 Saints 1.63

Port Adelaide V Bulldogs Sunday at AAMI Stadium

I don’t know if there is anything positive to say about Port Adelaide after back to back club record losses. They were woeful against Hawthorn last week and Matthew Primus is likely to swing the axe again at selection. Dean Brogan and Tom Logan are 2 likely inclusions but the power need a lot more help than this.

With their season effectively over the Bulldogs have now lost their coach for next season with Rodney Eade being let go. I expect this (and the opposition) to be enough to get the Dogs barking again and get their 8th win of the season. Look out for Barry Hall to have a big day in his third last game of AFL footy.

Who will be coaching the Bulldogs next year? See our whos coaching where market wrap up here.

Tip: Bulldogs by 33

Odds: Port 5.00 Bulldogs 1.18

A shout out to all the Port fans…

Melbourne V Richmond Sunday at the MCG

These two sides always seem to put on an entertaining game and with not a lot to play for for the remainder of the season this could turn into a high scoring shootout. The Demons will be looking to get caretaker coach Todd Viney his first victory and the inclusion of skipper Brad Green will be welcomed.

Richmond shocked the footy world and the Sydney Swans last week with a great win, unfortunately for Tigers fans they do not seem to back up big wins and beat teams that they should. With the race for the Coleman Medal on expect a big game from Jack Reiwoldt to get the Tigers home.

Tip: Tigers by 25

Odds: Melbourne 2.05 Richmond 1.78

Round 21 of the 2011 AFL footy season will see a few teams fighting for their future, a few looking to hang onto their spot and a couple of blowouts. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds in a tricky Round as we come to the business end of the season.

Round Twenty One kicks off Friday night at Etihad with last years 2 Grand Finalists St Kilda and Collingwood locking heads and concludes Sunday evening in Adelaide with the Crows looking to make it 3 for 3 under new coach Mark Bickley as they tackle a Geelong team in red hot form. The Kangaroos have the week off with the bye which virtually puts an end to their finals chances.

Best Bet of Round 21 is Melbourne to upset the West Coast between 1-39 which is paying a massive 4.70 at Sportsbet

This is the last weekend of the Sportingbet Depsoit $30 get a $150 free bet offer. Checkout our post here for more info on this offer which ends on Monday the 15th.

Saints V Pies Friday night at Etihad Stadium

The Saints have the bright lights of Etihad on a Friday night for the second week running after knocking off Fremantle last week. This is the Saints biggest test to date to see if they are a legitimate final 8 contender coming up against the might of the Magpies. Zac Dawson will come back into the side after missing a game through suspension but I can’t see any other major changes for the Saints.

Coming off a massive win against Port in the wet this will be a real test for the Pies to see where they are. Harry O’Brien will return for Collingwood with Chirs Dawes and Sharrod Wellingham to face fitness tests. I am sure the Pies would prefer this game to be at the MCG but I still think the will come away with the points.

Tip: Pies by 33 points

Odds: Saints 6.25 Collingwood 1.12

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Pies by 33

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of Friday nights match.

Hawks V Port Adelaide Saturday at the MCG

Hawthorn got a scare late last week against North Melbourne but will have no trouble against the Power this week. The only problem for the Hawks is at the selection table with Bateman, Lisle, Savage, Ellis, Shoenmakers & Bruce all fit and ready for a return to senior footy. Do the Hawks rest a few players in this one maybe?

Coming off kicking their lowest score in the AFL Port Adelaide will be out to redeem themselves. Unfortunately for them they come up against another Premiership contender, this time away from home. I expect the Power to kick more than 21 points this time around but I wouldn’t be putting any money on them to win, even at the odds of $21.

Tip: Hawks by 70 points

Odds: Hawks 1.01 V Port 21.00

Fremantle V Carlton Saturday at Paterson Stadium

The Dockers return home needing a win to stay in touch with the 8 after dropping to ninth after last weeks loss. They will lose Adam McPhee for a week with suspension but should regain superstar ruckman Aaron Sandilainds as Mark Harvey now realises Frmantles season is on the line.

Carlton had an easy win against Melbourne last Saturday but coach Brett Ratten was not overly happy with the Blues game. It’s always harder to beat Fremantle in Perth than it is at home and they will need all guns firing to get the win and stay in the top four.

Tip: Blues by 14 points

Odds: Freo 2.95 Blues 1.40

Western Bulldogs V Essendon Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

The Dogs are rested after a week off with the bye and have a long list of people to include in the side headlined by Cooney, Morris and Higgins but are sure to be without Tom Williams. They need to win 4 out of 4 in the run home to have any chance of making finals so expect them to come out all guns blazing.

What a comeback by the Bombers last week against the Swans to sneak home by a point. These are the games Essendon needs to win though to secure its top eight spot. With a bye in Round 24 they will not be able to do anything but sit back and hope results go their way to stay in the eight. Andrew Welsh and Nathan Lovett-Murray are two possible inclusions for the Bombers but I don’t expect to many changes to the side that beat the Swans.

This could be another Saturday night nail biter.

Tip: Dogs by 5 points

Odds: Bulldogs 2.10 Bombers 1.74

Brisbane V Gold Coast Saturday night at the Gabba

Q clash #2 should be a great game to watch with Brisbane out to show the Gold Coast that they are the number one team in Queensland and the Gold Coast wanting to prove that the win over the Lions earlier in the season was no fluke.

Brisbane let one slip against the Crows last week after leading by 4 goals mid way through the last term. Josh Drummond will come back into the Lions side to bolster their defence. Expect to see Ash McGrath forward again this week after his stellar effort against the Suns earlier in the year.

The Gold Coast are coming off a footy lesson against the Cats last week being thrashed by 150 points. Captain Gary Ablett will have a fitness test to determine if his hamstring is ok to play which would be a huge boost for the young Suns. Campbell Brown will miss the remainder of the season though which is a big loss down back. I think the Lions might have a sour taste in their mouth after the loss earlier in the year and will be too strong for the young Suns who look to be tiring as the season goes on.

Tip: Lions by 34 points.

Odds: Lions 1.41 Suns 2.90

Melbourne V West Coast Sunday at Etihad Stadium

The Demons need to show some pride, come out hard and get stand in coach Todd Viney his first win. If they stick to their game plan and use the knowledge of the MCG to their advantage I can see them pulling off a big upset this week and keeping finals hopes alive. Liam Jurrah, Colin Sylvia, Mark Jamar and Cale Morton all look to be recalled to the side this week.

The Eagles have some injury worries with star ruckman Dean Cox and defender Eric Mackenzie facing fitness tests this week and Matt Rosa definitely out. The Eagles are another team that needs to keep winning to keep the pressure on Hawthorn and Carlton for a top four spot but I have a sneaky suspension that the Dees might get up here.

Tip: Demons by 24 points

Odds: Melbourne 3.75 West Coast 1.25

Richmond V Sydney Sunday at the MCG

With the Tigers season effectively over they need to start working out what to do for next year and try a few players in some different roles, will they start that this week against the Swans though as they still need to win back some respect from the footy public and their supporters after a very disappointing second half to the season. Daniel Jackson is likely to miss for the Tigers which could open the door for Damien Hardwick to get a youngster in there and get him some experience.

The Swans cost themselves the game with some very poor kicking for gaol in the last quarter against Essendon last week. Adam Goodes will be out to have a good game after he missed a few he would normally convert including that kick after the siren. Gary Rohan looks to be fit again and could be an inclusion into the side.

Too much to play for for Sydney here, they should get the points.

Tip: Swans by 28 points

Odds: Tigers 3.50 Swans 1.30

Adelaide V Geelong Sunday at AAMI Satdium

The Crows are 2 for 2 under Mark Bickley and are finally putting some decent scores on the board with back to back 100 point games. Will the new attacking game style help them out against the Cats or leave them wide open to be hurt on the turnover against a Geelong side that has won by a combined 336 points in the past 2 weeks.

Geelong will bring back Brad Ottens and defender Corey Enright for Brownlow Medalist Jimmy Bartell’s 200th game. I am not sure if the Cats will make it 2 straight games winning over 100 points but they will win easily over in Adelaide and keep the pressure on Collingwood for top spot.

Tip: Cats by 80 points

Odds: Crows 9.00 Cats 1.07

Round 20 the 2011 AFL season looks to be a fairly easy one for footy tips with only a couple of hard games to make a prediction on. The bookies also have the odds fairly even in these 2 matches so make sure to follow our expert tipper in round 20 for the best results coming off a perfect week last week.

The Saints and Dockers kick of the Round Friday night with both sides desperate for a win to keep there spot in the eight. Match of the Round for me will be Essendon Vs Sydney Saturday night in what promises to be a rippa. Collingwood, Geelong, Hawthorn, Carlton & West Coast should all have wins to keep the top end of the ladder looking the same at the completion of the round twenty.

Best Bet of Round 20 for me is the Bombers between 1-39 against the Swans Saturday Night which is paying $2.55 at Sportsbet.

St Kilda V Fremantle Friday night at Etihad Stadium

The Saints were not really impressive last week against the Gold Coast without skipper Nick Riewoldt who they will welcome back this week after his one week suspension. This is a crucial game for the Saints who could skip 6 points clear of eighth placed Fremantle and possibly into fifth spot if they can beat them and the Swans lose to Essendon.

The Dockers were poor last week against the Hawks with the game effectively over at quarter time before the rain come and so did the injuries for Fremantle. Surely they must get Sandilainds back in the side soon if they are serious about making finals.

The Saints should be too strong at home though.

Tip: Saints by 34 points

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Saints by 32

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of the match.

To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

Odds: Saints 1.13 Dockers 6.00

Carlton V Melbourne Saturday at the MCG

The Blues played a scrappy first 3 quarters last week before showing their class in the last to run over the Roos. Bryce Gibbs was superb in a week where skipper Chris Judd was a bit flat. Andrew Walker continues his stellar season up forward and it only 5 goals off leader Buddy Franklin in the race for the Coleman medal.

Not much more can be said about the Demons 186 point thrashing at the hands of Geelong last week. Todd Viney takes over from Dean Bailey in the coaches box and is sure to be telling his players to go out hard against Carlton this week after fiery Blue Mitch Robinson suggested they play “bruise free footy”after the teams met earlier this season. In some good news for Melbourne fans this week they will see the return of Aaron Davey, Tom Scully & Clint Bartram. Don’t be too surprised if there are a lot more changes after last weeks effort though.

Tip: Blues by 40 points

Odds: Blues 1.13 Demons 6.00

Geelong V Gold Coast Saturday at Skilled Stadium

The Cats smashed a lot of records last week, can they go one better this week against the Gold Coast? Nathan Vardy will be pushing for selection this week as will James Podsiadly but don’t expect too many changes after the 186 point win last week.

The Suns showed a lot of good signs against the Saints last week before falling 20 points short. Skipper Gary Ablett will make his long awaited return to Skilled Stadium after he left the Cats at the end of 2010. How will the Cats fans react to him when he runs out on Saturday? If the Gold Coast can keep the margin under 10 goals I will say they have done a good job. If the Cats want to win by over 100 points again they will, or will they take it easy on the newcomers.

Tip: Cats by 98 points

Odds: Cats 1.01 Suns 17.00

Essendon V Sydney Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

The injuries keep mounting up on the Bombers who have the longest injury list in the AFL. Essendon shocked a lot of people when they led at halftime against the Pies but run out of breath and got blown away in the second half for the second week in a row. Fitness tests to Dustin Fletcher, Heath Hocking, Michael Hurley, Nathan Lovett-Murray, David Myers and Scott Gumbleton could see a few changes at Bomberland this week.

The Swans are rested coming off they bye but know they must win these type of games to keep there final eight spot. Currently sitting sixth, with a win they can go 8 points ahead of ninth placed Essendon, with a loss they will find themselves even on points and right there in the fight for seventh and eighth spot. Expect a big game from leaders Adam Goodes, Jude Bolton and Heath Grundy.

This has the potential to be the most exciting match of the round, I think the Bombers will just get over the line in a close one.

Tip: Bombers by 3 points

Odds: Bombers 1.93 Swans 1.87

Port Adelaide V Collingwood Saturday at AAMI Stadium

Not even the benefit of a week off last week will help Port Adelaide in this one against the Magpies. Port need a win out of there remaining 5 games to get themselves off the bottom of the ladder but there is no chance it will come this week against the Pies who are getting ready for September.

Collingwood were slow out of the block against the Bombers but showed their class in the second half and took them to the cleaners. Scott Pendlebury continued his stellar season and has to now be hot favourite for the Brownlow medal. Expect Mick Malthouse to rest a few this week as this one is i the bag already.

Tip: Pies by 50 points

Odds: Power 17.00 Pies 1.01

Brisbane V Adelaide Sunday at the Gabba

Another team coming off the bye last week were the Lions who also need a win to go a game clear if the Suns. Brisbane got the job done in Adelaide earlier in the season for one of their 3 wins this season and will be looking to hand Crows stand in coach Mark Bickley his first loss.

With the news of young defender Phil Davis signing with GWS next season Adelaide will be out to prove he has made the wrong decision and that they are heading in the right direction. They showed against the Power last week that they still have a lot of good players but with speculation hanging over the heads of Taylor Walker and Bernie Vince you have to wonder if they are giving it their all in the remaining games of the season.

In a match the doesn’t really mean a lot I am tipping the home crowd to get the Lions up

Tip: Lions by 18 points

Odds: Lions 1.70 Crows 2.15

Hawthorn V North Melbourne Sunday at Aurora Stadium

The Hawks put on a show in the first quarter last week against Freo and had the game under control from there on. Even without Lance Franklin kicking a major the Hawks still got up by 51 points. Luke Hodge will be a welcome inclusion after missing last week with soreness, Shane Savage will be a chance also, but who Alistair Clarkson leaves out will be the hard decision.

The kangaroos showed some spirit in the first 3 quarters last week but got overrun by the Blues. Drew Petrie was well held so expect him to be looking to dominate against a short Hawks defence. His midfielders need to lift and get him some good delivery if the Roos are a chance in the first meeting between these two sides this year in what could be the “Tasmanian Derby” in years to come.

Tip: Hawks by 44 points

Odds: Hawks 1.14 Kangaroos 5.75

West Coast V Richmond Sunday at Paterson Stadium

After hitting teammate Josh Kennedy in the face with a tennis ball and ruling him out last week big man Dean Cox stood up when it counted most in the last quarter to get the Eagles over the line against the Dogs. John Worsfold would not have been impressed with his sides second half but will take the victory to stay in touch with Carlton and Hawthorn. Nic Naitanui should return this week after missing last weeks win.

The Tigers travel west after having the bye last week and desperately need a win if they have any hopes whatsoever of playing finals. It is a long shot but if they win their remaining five games they are a chance. I can’t see this happening, especially this week as they come up against in in form Eagles hungry for a top four spot.

Tip: Eagles by 43 points

Odds: Eagles 1.10 Tigers 7.00

There are just seven games in Round 19 of the 2011 AFL footy season but a few could impact the final eight and end some teams seasons. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds to help make the right choice.

With Richmond, Sydney & Brisbane all having the bye we kick off Round Nineteen Friday night with traditional Friday Night Footy Rivals North Melbourne & Carlton squaring off in what is a must win for the Roos. The Dockers V Hawks game Saturday night should be a cracker, Collingwood and Essendon will pull a big crowd to the MCG on Sunday whilst in Adelaide it is Showdown time to conclude the Round.

Best Bet of Round 19 for me is the Blues by over 40 points against the Kangaroos on Friday Night Footy which is paying $2.80 at Sportsbet.

North Melbourne V Carlton Friday night at Etihad Stadium

The Roos could welcome back big man Hamish McIntosh to partner number 1 ruck-man Todd Goldstien against Carltons tall timber. Also in good form in the reserves for the Roos were Nathan Grima, Gavin Urquhart & Lindsay Thomas kicked 4.4 for North Ballarat. The Roos will need a big upset here to keep their September dream alive.

Carlton were awesome in the second half last week blowing the Bombers away. Led by skipper Chris Judd and small forward Eddie Betts kicking 8 goals they gave Essendon a football lesson. Can Andrew Walker climb high again and maybe take another Mar of the Year contender.. The Blues easily in this one for me.

Tip: Carlton by 45 points

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Saints by 32

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of the match.

To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

Odds: Kangaroos 3.40 Blues 1.32

Western Bulldogs V West Coast Saturday at Etihad Stadium

The Bulldogs were outclassed by Sydney last week and surely now they must realise that they will not be playing finals this season. Will Rocket Eade stick with his senior players or get some games into some young future stars of the club such as , Josh Hill, Christian Howard, Will Minson and Jordan Roughead. Injury concerns over a host of big names including Cooney, Cross, Morris, Higgins, Picken & Gilbee will make things tough for the doggies.

The Eagles coming off a nail biter against Fremantle will only strengthen their side with the possible inclusion of Daniel Kerr. To keep in touch with Calrton & Hawthorn the Eagles need to win these games and after beating the Dogs by over 100 points earlier in the season I think they can get the job done again.

Tip: Eagles by 22 points

Odds: Bulldogs 2.17 Eagles 1.66

Geelong V Melbourne Saturday at Skilled Stadium

The Cats return to Skilled Stadium this week where they are unstoppable. A dominant first half was all they needed against Richmond last week to get the points. Steve Johnson, Cameron Ling and Brad Ottens should all slot back into the Cats lineup which could also feature Cameron Mooney if coach Scott thinks it is the right time to bring him back into the seniors.

Melbourne were ordinary last week against the Hawks and face an uphill battle to make the finals with games against the top sides coming up over the next 3 weeks starting with the Cats this week. Scully & Jurrah should return but it wont be enough to beat the Cats in Geelong.

Tip: Cats by 58 points

Odds: Cats 1.08 Demons 8.00

Gold Coast V St Kilda Saturday night at Metricon Stadium

The Suns were not blown away by the Pies by over 100 points last week like many would have thought. The fact that they stuck in there and gave it a good hard crack will have made coach Guy McKenna very happy. Karmichael Hunt is a chance this week after starring in the midfield in the reserves last week.

The Saints had their best win of the season last Friday night, smashing the Crows by a whopping 103 points. Stevie Milne was superb kicking 8, Schnieder adding 5 and Dal Santo starring in the midfield. St Kilda will be without captain Nick Reiwoldt this weekend though due to suspension but I can’t see this being too much trouble for the Saints who are on a roll.

Tip: Saints by 45 points

Odds: Suns 7.00 Saints 1.10

Fremantle V Hawthorn Saturday night at Paterson Stadium

Fremanlte come up just 1 point short last week in a spirited last quarter comeback against West Coast. Sandilainds still isn’t ready to go and fellow ruckman Jonathan Griffin looks set to miss also which may open the door for Kepler Bradley. The Dockers will also miss Luke McPharlin through suspension which would hurt them as he would have been the number one pick to line up on Buddy Franklin.

Hawthorn fought back to overrun the Dockers in the last quarter earlier this season at the MCG but the job will be a lot harder at Patersons Stadium. The Hawks are taking some good form into the game though after easily dispatching of Melbourne last week. The Hawks will be out for revenge on the same ground the Dockers beat them in last years Elimination final and will only be strengthened by the possible returns of Bateman, Suckling & Lisle with young gun Shane Savage set to miss through injury. This should be a cracker of a match.

Tip: Hawks by 15 points

Odds: Dockers 2.85 Hawks 1.43

Collingwood V Essendon Sunday at the MCG

The Pies looked to take the foot off the pedal in the second half last week against the Suns last week but had already done the job in the first half. Darren jolly will return after a week off with the flu to play his 200th game. Sidebottom, Didak and Beams are also possibilities to be included with Daisy Thomas and Ben Johnson possible outs through injury.

The Bombers were woeful in the second half against Carlton last week and paid the price. James Hird will have the luxury of Jobe Watson finally getting over a hamstring injury to return to the side and Dustin Fletcher but will miss defender Taite Pears for 2 to 3 weeks which could hurt the Bombers final hopes. Essendon have there backs against the wall and need to do a number on the Pies like they did to Geelong earlier in the year to continue their push towards September. Unfortunately for Bombers fans I can’t see this happening though.

Tip: Pies by 37 points

Odds: Pies 1.07 Bombers 8.25

Adelaide V Port Adelaide Sunday at AAMI Stadium

In a match the not many people out of Adelaide will care much about club champion Mark Bickley will make his coaching debut for the Crows after the resignation of Niel Craig during the week. The Crows players will be out to give their new coach a first up win. Taylor Walker along with Chris Knights are possible inclusions for the Crows.

The Power come off the bye and straight into another showdown with the Crows. Justin Westhoff will return for Port but Dean Brogan and Alipate Carlile are still a week or two off.

Expect a few fireworks in this one which could be an ugly game of footy to watch, but could be the closest of the round.

Tip: Crows by 5 points

Odds: Crows 1.57 Power 2.40

Round 18 of the 2011 AFL footy season looks to one that will have a huge impact on the final eight. Below you will find all your footy tips, predictions, match previews and latest odds to help make the right choice.

With Blockbusters between Essendon & Carlton and Fremantle V West Coast as the standout matches also expect to see the top two sides dominate their opponents and get a percentage boost as Collingwood take on the Gold Caost for the first time and the Geelong hosting Richmond at Etihad Stadium.

Best Bet of Round 18 for me is the Bulldogs between 1-39 against the Swans which is paying $3.10 at Sportsbet.

St Kilda V Adelaide Friday night at Etihad Satdium

The Saints continued their hot form last week knocking off the Eagles, even without scoring at all in the third quarter. They will lose defender James Gwilt for the rest of the season with Jason Blake looking to be his replacement.

The Crows definitely let a chance slip last week after they led the Bombers by 36 points at half time but ended up going down by 11 points. A hip injury to star defender Graham Joncock could see him sidelined for this match, even with him I can’t see them knocking off St Kilda.

Tip: Saint by 32 points

Odds: Saints 1.11 Crows 6.50

If you’re looking for a good side bet here I would recommend the Saints between 1-39 over the Crows at $2.40

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Saints by 32

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip before the start of the match.

To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

North Melbourne V Brisbane Saturday at Etihad Stadium

The Kangaroos kept their slim finals hopes alive last week with a hard-fought victory against the Doggies. Drew Petrie starred once again kicking 5 goals and Andrew Swallow and Daniel Wells dominated in the midfield.

Brisbane’s season went from bad to worse last week as captain Jonathan Brown once again got knocked out and will now miss the remainder of the season. Fellow big man Mitch Clark is also in doubt, likely replacement for the pair are Bryce Retzlaff and Aaron Cornelius. If Brisbane can play with the same intensity as they did for 3 quarters against the Cats they will also give the Kangaroos a scare.

Tip: Kangaroos by 23 points

Odds: Kangaroos 1.11 Lions 6.75

I think to Roos will jump out of the blocks early in this one, that’s why the first quarter being the highest scoring of the game at 3.80 stands out to me.

Sydney V Western Bulldogs Saturday at the SCG

This looms as a must win for both sides, if the Swans want to consolidate a spot in the top eight they need to start putting together back to back wins. They have not been dominating at the SCG this year as they have been in past seasons and need to make this a place teams fear to come and play at once again.

The Doggies let a golden chance slip last week to jump to ninth and be just 2 points out of they eight as they lost to the Kangaroos. With the retirement announcement of Barry Hall this week, along with the spearheads knowledge of the SCG I think the Doggies can bring home the 4 points and leave the Swans in danger of dropping out of the eight.

Tip: Bulldogs by 15 points

Odds: Swans 1.54 Bulldogs 2.45

I am taking the qtr by qtr leader of Syd/Syd/Syd/WB at $25.00 in this one

Gold Coast V Collingwood Saturday night at Metricon Stadium

The Suns got themselves of the bottom of the ladder with a superb win against the Tigers in Round 17. They will need a miracle to get over the top of the table reigning premier Magpies though.

After a horror week off the field the Pies were not dominant against the Blues last week but had enough class to get the job done. The form of Daisy Thomas this year has been outstanding and must put him on Brownlow Medal talks. The Pies will dominate the Suns in the first ever meeting between the 2 sides.

Tip: Pies by 78 points

Odds: Suns 21.00 Pies 1.01

Although the Pies will dominate this game I am taking a Punt and saying that the Gold Caost will kick the first scoring play, a point at $6.20

Essendon V Carlton Saturday night at the MCG

If this game is anything like the draw these two sides out on earlier in the year it is bound to be a blockbuster. The Bombers could jump up to sixth if Freo lose and the Blues could drop to fifth if the same result happens so there is a lot riding on this match.

Essendon started slowly last week but were superb in a second half come back in Adelaide. Angus Monfries had his best game of the season and David Zaharakis continues to impress. Captain Jobe Watson and Michael Hibbard will be welcome inclusions to the side.

The Blues performed strongly against the Pies last week and stuck with them most of the day. Andrew Carrazzo and Jordan Russell could come back into the side after recovering from injury. The Bombers have had the wood over the Blues for a while but I think with the form of the Blues stars this year they can put an end to this trend.

Tip: Blues by 7 points

Odds: Bombers 2.65 Blues 1.48

The odds are against a second draw between these two sides this season, but I got to put five bucks on it at $67.00 just incase

Geelong V Richmond Sunday at the Etihad Stadium

The Cats got a scare last week from the Lions but a brilliant 8 goal haul from James Podsiadly got them over the line. The Cats forward line could also see the inclusion of veteran Cameron Mooney after strong performances in the VFL in past weeks.

The Tigers were humiliated last week losing to the Gold Coast and the task of redeeming themselves is not an easy one facing the Cats. Damien Hardwick is sure to get the axe out and drop a few players with Mitch Morton and Brad Miller looking to be recalled to the senior side.

Tip: Cats by 58 points

Odds: Cats 1.08 Tigers 7.50

I am taking the Cats with a halftime margin of between 25-36 which is paying an attractive $4.90

Melbourne V Hawthorn Sunday at the MCG

The Demons sit just one win out of the eight and will need a huge effort to overcome the Hawks coming off a bye. Brendon Fevola kicked 11 goals in the VFL last week but don’t expect to see him lining up for Melbourne.

The bye appears to have come at a great time for the Hawks as they have had the chance to get some injured players fit. They could welcome back as many as 5 “best 22″ players, Chance Bateman, Brad Sewell, Cyril Rioli and Jordan Lisle from injury and Jordan Lewis from suspension. too much class all over the ground for the Hawks and they should get the points.

Tip: Hawks by 25 points

Odds: Demons 4.10 Hawks 1.24

I am taking the Hawks with a winning margin of between 20-39 at $4.30 in this one

Fremantle V West Coast Sunday at Paterson Stadium

The Western Derby is always a hard one to pick, this week is even harder to pick with both sides in good form and occupying 5th and 6th on the ladder. If the Dockers can beat the Eagles they will be even on points but will stay in sixth as the Eagles have a way superior percentage,

Nick Suban is almost certain to be included in the Dockers 22 and superstar Aaron Sandilainds is also a chance to play his first game since Round 12.

West Coast are coming off a rare loss and will be out to rectify this and stay in touch with the top four. Daniel Kerr will be a welcome inclusion after the Eagles were hurt badly in the stopages against the Saints last week.

Tip: Eagles by 24 points

Odds: Dockers 2.75 Eagles 1.45

I’m taking Fremantle to be the first team to 15 points in this one at $2.25

Footy tipping is tough in Round 17 of the 2011 AFL season with two very important matches that are likely going to make up the top 8 come the end of the year. There’s plenty of good odds in both these games with St Kilda 1.78 (11th on the ladder) and favourite to win against the Eagles 2.05 (4th) who just knocked the Cats off top spot.

Think you can beat our tips? Then put them in comments section below and if your the first person to tip more correct than Sportsbet Blog you will receive via email a $100 betting voucher!

Congrats to John from last week who took home the $100 betting voucher, picking 7 out of 8 doing 1 better than us! Well done!

See the Celebrity/Pro footy tips for round 17 here.

Best Bet of Round 17 for me is West Coast between 1-39 against the Saints which is paying $2.65 at Sportsbet

Adelaide V Essendon Friday night at AAMI Stadium

Adelaide have had the better of Essendon lately at AAMI stadium with some big wins, they face an Essendon outfit full of confidence though after winning two on the trot. Coming off the bye Adelaide will still be missing tall forward Taylor Walker after receiving a one match ban. They will look to welcome back Ricky Henderson but will also need to cover the loss of Richard Douglas and Ian Callinan.

The Bombers will still be without captain Jobe Watson but are likely to recall defender Cale Hooker who has overcome a hamstring injury. The Bombers struggle on the road and will need an effort similar to the one they produced 2 weeks ago against the Cats to get the points in Adelaide, with recent form on their side I believe they can get the 4 points.

Tip: Bombers by 19 points

Odds: Crows 2.35 Bombers 1.60

Fancy a bet on this match, I am predicting the first goal to be kicked for the match between the 1.01 & 2.00 minute mark which is paying a healthy $4.25

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Bombers by 19

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game takes home a massive $500. Its free to play so make sure to get your tip bee the start of the match.

To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

Richmond V Gold Coast Saturday at Cazaly’s Stadium, Carins

The Tigers let one slip last week after leading against the Bombers late in the third quarter only to be overrun by 39 points. The mood down at Tigerland is not good after 2 crushing defeats just when they were knocking on the door of the eight, I think their will be a few nervous fans heading into this “should win” game against the Suns.

Gold Coast will be sweating on how Gary Ablett pulls up throughout the week after he put a scare through the camp last week going down with a knee injury. I expect him to play this week but that still won’t be enough for them to get the points.

Tip: Tigers by 45 points

Odds: Tigers 1.11 Suns 6.50

The Tigers should dominate the game and lead at every change which you can get $1.52 for at Sportsbet

Carlton V Collingwood Saturday at the MCG

A Blockbuster at the G on Saturday afternoon could turn into a demolition at the G if the Blues play like they did last week. Collingwood went from strength to strength with a huge win against the Kangaroos and their only concern is if they should welcome back Alan Didak, Brent Macaffer and John McCarthy or if Mick Malthouse will stay with the teams winning combination from last week.

Carlton on the other hand had the chance to consolidate its top 4 spot last week but were disappointing against the dogs. To make things worse they have lost Jarred Waite and Andrew Carrazo through injury for this weeks huge game. Will they recall Brock McLean to the midfield? Ed Curnow and Dennis Armfield also look to be available for a recall.

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Tip: Pies by 49 points

Odds: Blues 6.00 Magpies 1.13

If my prediction is right and the Pies win between 40-49 points you could get $8.00 for that

St Kilda V West Coast Saturday night at Etihad Stadium

This promises to be a great game with both teams fighting for different things. The Saints have hit form finally this season winning 3 of its last 4 games to be on the brink of breaking into the eight. Justin Koschitzke has not been named to play after serving his 2 match suspension and could been a massive help for Ben McEvoy in the ruck against West Coasts dominating duo of Dean Cox and Nic Natnui.

The Eagles will look to continue their impressive form and if the Blues lose and Eagles win they will jump into fourth spot on the ladder. Quinten Lynch will return from suspension, Beau Waters could return after overcoming a elbow injury that has kept him sidelined since Round 2. I think this will be a great match that could go down to the last few minutes of the game. West Coast in a close one for me.

Tip: Eagles by 4 points

Odds: Saints 1.78 Eagles 2.05

I am taking a risk here and betting on the quarter by quarter leader spread of St Kilda/WCE/ST Kilda/WCE which is paying a whopping $52.00

Melbourne V Port Adelaide Saturday night at TIO Stadium, Darwin

The Demons should be refreshed after a week off and will look to regain their spot in the eight on Saturday night in Darwin. Aaron Davey could possibly make his return this week for the Dees which will strengthen their midfield but they will look to Liam Jurrah up forward to continue his stellar season and kick a bag.

Port were horrible at home against St Kilda last week but will take confidence up to Darwin after recording a win up there earlier in the season against Richmond. Jacob Surjan should be a automatic call up after a strong showing in the SANFL last weekend but if Jackson Trengove does not come up after injuring his arm against the Saints this will leave Port a bit smaller down back and in the ruck.

Lets hope that the ground staff have the lights working this time around up there.

Tip: Demons by 40 points

Odds: Demons 1.27 Power 3.80

I am predicting a big finish in this one and the last quarter to be the highest scoring of the game, which is paying 3.70 at Sportsbet

Sydney V Fremantle Sunday at the SCG

This could be a season defining game for both sides who are sitting 6th and 7th on the ladder with a few teams looking to take their spot. Sydney had an easy win against the Suns last week and will look to keep the ball in close and not let the Dockers get their running game going. Jude Bolton will not be available for this match after injuring himself in the warm up last week.

After a week off Fremantle have had the chance to freshen up some bodies and will almost certainly recall star midfielder Michael Barlow and versatile forward/ruck Kepler Bradley. For Fremantle to win I think the will need a best on ground performance from captain Matthew Pavlich, but how much longer can the Dockers rely on him to win them games?

Tip: Swans by 21 points

Odds: Swans 1.28 Dockers 3.70

I think the game will be low scoring, and a halftime margin in the Swans favor of between 1-12 looks the goods at $4.30

Brisbane V Geelong Sunday at the Gabba

The Lions showed signs of improvement against the Hawks last week but still went down by 42 points. Michael Voss needs to figure out a game plan to stop opposing defenders double teaming Jonathan Brown every time the ball goes near him or they are going to be in trouble for the remainder of the season.

Who would have thought the Cats would lose 2 straight after winning their first 13 of the year. Surely this will be the game to end the losing streak. Joel Selwood will be back after serving his 4 match ban but the Cats will lose Brad Ottens for a week. I can’t see the Cats losing this one, they should easily account for Brisbane.

Tip: Cats by 63 points

Odds: Lions 7.50 Cats 1.09

The Cats will dominate betting here and rightfully so, I have chosen a random bet of the first scoring play of the third quarter to be a Geelong point which is paying $3.00

North Melbourne V Western Bulldogs Sunday at Etihad Stadium

This is another season defining game possibly as both teams look to stay in touch with the eight. The Kangaroos were woeful last week, going down by 117 points, but what was even more disappointing was the effort of the players. Brad Scott would have been shattered by the effort they put up and will have put them through some tough training sessions this week. Captain Brent Harvey is in doubt which could make things even harder for the Roos.

The Dogs are coming off their best performance of the year last week, beating fourth placed Carlton to be sitting just 2 points out of the eight. Will Rodney Eade stick with the same side that beat the Blues or choose to include Tom Liberatore, Will Minson, Dylan Addison, Ryan Hargrave or Ed Barlow who are all pushing for selection. I think the Dogs can get the points here and maybe put an end to the Kangaroos season.

Tip: Dogs by 24 points

Odds: Kangaroos 3.00 Bulldogs 1.40

I think the Kangaroos will come out firing after last weeks effort but will be overrun by the Dogs, thats why I am looking at the Kangaroos half time/Bulldogs full time bet which is paying $7.00

Round 16 of season 2011 will be a tough one for footy tips with a few hard games making a prediction very hard. The bookies also have the odds fairly even in some matches so make sure to follow our expert tipper in round 16 for the best results.

Only 7 games this week in the AFL with Melbourne, Adelaide & Fremantle all having the bye. Friday night footy should be a cracking game over in Perth with the in form Eagles taking on Geelong after their first loss of the season. We conclude the round Sunday afternoon with what promises to be another cracking game between the Blues and the Dogs.

Think you can beat SportsbetBlog’s resident AFL tipster? Then put your round 16 tips in the comments section below and if your the first person to tip more correct than him will receive via email a $100 betting voucher!

See the celebrity/pro tips for round 16 here

Best Bet of Round 16: My Best bet or Round 16 is the Cats over the Eagles between 1 – 39 which is paying 2.45 at Sportsbet.

West Coast V Geelong Friday night at Patersons Stadium

This shapes to be a great matchup over in Perth with the Eagles very hard to beat at home. They will need all big guns firing though if they want to inflict Geelongs second straight loss.

The Cats were shocked last week by Essendon, I always thought they were going to get over the top of the Bombers but fell short by 4 points. Podsiadly was quiet last week and they will need him firing this week against a Eagles side eager to beat another top 4 side.

Tip: Cats by 9 points

Odds Eagles 2.00 Cats 1.82

Sportsbet’s Friday $500 Prediction: Geelong by 9

Enter the free Sportsbet Friday $500 where the person that picks the winner and margin of Friday nights game taking home a massive $500. Its free to enter and play so make sure to get your tip in here before the bounce.

To find out more about the Friday $500 see the Sportsbet site here.

Hawthorn V Brisbane Saturday at Aurora Stadium

The Hawks played out the match last week well not to get blown away by any more than 41 points against Collingwood. The injury ravaged Hawks lost another key tall defender in Jordan Lisle and will be sweating on tests to Lance Franklin, Chance Bateman & Michael Osbourne to see if they are fit to play.

The Lions kicked the last 4 goals of the game to get over Port Adelaide last week but were not convincing at all throughout the day. They will need a miracle to beat the Hawks down in Tassie. The Hawks easily for me in this one.

Tip: Hawks by 56 points

Odds: Hawks 1.10 Lions 7.00

Gold Coast V Sydney Saturday night at Metricon Stadium

The Suns will have to enter this game with confidence after a strong showing against Fremantle last week, only really losing touch in the last quarter. The form of Gary Ablett will see him poll well in the Brownlow Medal count but the Suns need to win a few more games if he has a chance to win it, this could be a game where they could shock some people.

Sydney lost in the wet last week to Adelaide and travel to the Gold Coast this week for their second match in a row on the road. If they want to be a serious contender this year they need to put sides like this away, not like last week against Adelaide where they let one slip.

Tip: Swans by 33 points

Odds: Suns 5.25 Swans 1.16

Essendon V Richmond Saturday night at the MCG

The Bombers become the first team to beat the Cats this year last week with a stunning win. Their pressure on the ball was amazing, the big question is though, can they do it 2 weeks in a row? The only change that will be made at Bomberland is that Andrew Welsh will be out with a hamstring injury.

The Tigers let down their fans last week with a dismal display against Carlton, losing by 103 points. They have already beaten Essendon this year in the dream time at the G match, I am not sure they can do it again though after seeing how different the two teams played last week, they will need a complete reversal in form, I can’t see it happening though.

Tip: Bombers by 22 points

Odds: Bombers 1.53 Tigers 250

Collingwood V North Melbourne Sunday at the MCG

The Magpies will miss Chris Dawes for around 6 weeks with a broken knuckle and will be missed up forward but I don’t think it will be too much of a problem this week. The Pies got the job done in the first half last week against the Hawks and looked to be in cruise control for the rest of the match to take down another flag contender.

The Kangaroos let a golden opportunity to slip into the eight go last week when they lost to St Kilda who did not score in the last quarter. These are chances North need to take if they want to be playing Finals. I do not give them any chance at all this week against the Pies who will beat the easily.

Tip: Pies by 60 points

Odds: Magpies 1.07 Kangaroos 8.50

Port Adelaide V St Kilda Sunday at AAMI Stadium

Port should have got the points last week against the Lions but let the game slip away late up at the Gabba. They return home hoping to beat a Saints side that has finals in sight again. Jason Davenport, Jacob Surjan and Mitch Banner could come back into the side for Port if Matthew Primus axes a few others.

The Saints showed a bit of form last week against North that has been missing this year. Although they did not score in the last quarter their defense was showing signs of what it can do to sides, keeping North to just 1 goal in the quarter also. Goddard, Reiwoldt & Dal Santo were impressive and will continue their good form this week to beat Port.

Tip: Saints by 35 points

Odds: Power 3.75 Saints 1.27

Western Bulldogs V Carlton Sunday at Etihad Stadium

The dogs are another team making a run to September and put their best performance of they year together last week against Melbourne. They will need an even better effort against an in form Blues side if they want to get the 4 points.

The Blues smashed the Tigers last week in one of the best displays of the season. Chris Judd was fantastic, their forward line shared the goals and their back line was very strong, an all round team effort. They should be able to get the points against the Dogs, but Carlton fans will be hoping they don;t come into this game with an attitude that they will simply show up and win, if they do the Dogs could cause an upset.

Tip: Blues by 19 points

Odds: Bulldogs 3.65 Blues 1.28