The first of two Group 2 races at Caulfield this week is the Tristarc Stakes, run over 1400m. The total prizemoney is $180,000, and while this might not rival that of the Caulfield Cup, it is still a lot. This race is usually considered a good form guide for the Myer Classic, which will be held this year at Flemington on Victoria Derby Day. Past winners of this race include Infinite Grace and Mimi Lebrock.
Typhoon Tracy has been one of the horses of the spring, and is $3.60 with Betfair for this race. She has raced 3 times this spring, for 1 win and 1 place. She underperformed in her last race, the Underwood Stakes, finishing 8th, but you can expect better from her this time.
The favourite is Hot Danish, who is no stranger to the Spring Carnival. She finished fifth in her last race, but won the Group 3 Research Stakes before that, adding to her claim as one of Australia’s best mares. Hot Danish is $2.80 with Betfair.
At $8.00 is Gold Water, who finished second in the Group 2 Rose of Kingston Stakes coming off a spell. Gai Waterhouse only ever brings her best horses to Melbourne for the Spring Carnival, and it’s clear that she’s confident about this mare.
The Peter Snowdon trained Neroli, who finished 4th in the Rose of Kingston Stakes (when she was favourite), is at $5.50. She has been popular in Fantasy Stables, and many people will be hoping she can perform this week to get some points on the board.
Chinchilla Rose is something of veteran in races like these, although only being 5 years old. The mare has not been in the best form, finishing 6th in a listed race after a 3 month spell. Chinchilla Rose is at $26.00 with Betfair.
I think Gold Water could easily pull off an upset here. I respect Gai Waterhouse a lot, and I think Gold Water will win here. Hot Danish and Typhoon Tracy are the other two I like, and Japanese mare Jolie’s Shinju is good value at $18.00.
MY TIPS:
Gold Water
Hot Danish
Typhoon Tracy
Jolie’s Shinju
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